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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Lebanon

Publisher Oxford Economics
Published Mar 31, 2026
Length 6 Pages
SKU # OFE21076927

Description

We have cut our 2026 GDP forecast for Lebanon by 9.6ppts to a 5.5% contraction, following an estimated 1.1% expansion last year. The truce agreed between Hezbollah and Israel in late 2024 unravelled a few days after the initial US/Israeli strikes on Iran. The renewed bilateral conflict, Israel's de-facto occupation of Lebanon's south, and widespread displacement of the population thwart near-term recovery prospects.

Table of Contents

6 Pages
Lebanon: Renewed war worsens the near
term outlook
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short
term outlook
Key drivers of our short
term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments and structure of trade
Policy and politics

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