Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Eurozone
Description
We've raised our average inflation forecast for the Eurozone this year by 0.5ppts to 2.2% to reflect the impact we expect from the US/Israel-Iran war. But in our central scenario, the impact on GDP is more limited, and so we have lowered our 2026 Eurozone GDP growth forecast by just 0.1ppt to 1%. However, risks are clearly skewed to the downside – a more negative assumption on energy prices would have a more meaningful impact on inflation and activity because the Eurozone is more exposed to these shocks than other advanced economies.
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