Oxford Economics
Established in 1981, Oxford Economics originated as a collaborative venture with Oxford University's business collective, aiming to extend economic forecasting and modeling services to United Kingdom-based companies and financial institutions with international aspirations. Evolving over time, the firm has achieved global renown, ascending to a position of prominence as one of the leading independent advisory entities on a worldwide scale.
The firm's extensive repertoire encompasses an array of reports, forecasts, and analytical tools spanning across more than 3,000 cities, 200 countries, and 100 industrial sectors. At its core, Oxford Economics leverages sophisticated global economic and industry models, coupled with advanced analytical tools, enabling it to anticipate external market trends while offering precise evaluations of their economic, social, and business implications.
Integral to the firm's comprehensive approach are an array of research techniques and adept leadership capabilities, including:
- Econometric modeling
- Scenario framing
- Economic analysis encompassing market surveys, case studies, expert panels, and web analytics
Oxford Economics boasts a substantial global clientele, encompassing over 850 international organizations, positioning itself as a pivotal advisory partner to corporate, financial, and governmental decision-makers and thought leaders. With an accomplished in-house team of experts complemented by a vast contributor network consisting of more than 500 economists, analysts, and journalists worldwide, the firm consistently delivers robust insights.
Headquartered in Oxford, England, the firm's reach extends through regional centers in London, New York, and Singapore, complemented by a network of offices in Belfast, Chicago, Dubai, Miami, Paris, Philadelphia, San Francisco, and Washington, DC.
Notably, MarketResearch.com showcases Oxford Economics' economic research accomplishments on a global scale. Visitors to the platform can explore a gamut of offerings, including weekly economic briefings, monthly industry briefings, country economic forecasts, commodity price projections, and more, spanning an extensive array of countries and industries. The wealth of expertise and global insight underpinning Oxford Economics ensures that each economics report is meticulously crafted, offering comprehensive analytical depth.
1,066 Reports from Oxford Economics
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - Emerging Markets
Across Asia, while the direct effect of tariffs varies by economy, the overall effect is more systemic. The short-term effect on China is being dampened as trade with the US is diverted via other countries, and the economy is being supported by a weaker currency and policy stimulus ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - US
Heading into the weekend, it was unclear if there were enough votes in the Senate to pass legislation to keep the government open after March 14. A government shutdown would come at a vulnerable time for the economy and would subtract 0.1ppt to 0.2ppts from GDP growth for each week that it persists. ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - United Kingdom
January's small fall in UK GDP is no cause for concern given it came on the back of December's outsized increase. We continue to expect quarter-on-quarter growth of around 0.3% in Q1, though a history of volatility in the early part of the year – likely reflecting residual seasonality in the ... Read More
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Industry - Commodity Price Forecasts - Commodity Price Forecasts
This month Brent fell to a three-year low below $70pb following OPEC's confirmation that it will begin unwinding cuts in Q2. The move adds downward pressure to prices in an already bearish environment as softer global economic growth prospects are weighing on oil demand. We have downgraded our o ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - Eurozone
Strong Sentix results suggest investors support European and German plans to increase defence and infrastructure spending significantly. Germany's fiscal 'bazooka' needs a deal with the Greens to pass a key vote. We think that can still be reached, but it will require quick progress. ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Canada
The US-Canada trade war will push Canada's economy into a recession that will spill over into early 2026. We have lowered our GDP growth forecasts for Canada by 0.3ppts to 1.1% in 2025 and now expect no growth in 2026, compared to 1.6% growth last month. ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - MENA
We have raised our 2025 GDP growth forecast for Turkey by 1ppt to 2.9%, following a 3.2% expansion last year. The higher projection for this year reflects better-than-expected growth at the end of 2024, which boosted the carryover, and limited evidence of activity slowing at the start of this year. ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - France
We've lowered our forecast for GDP growth in France in 2025 by 0.1ppt to 0.5% as global trade uncertainty is weighing on business investment even more than we initially anticipated. In 2026, we continue to expect a modest rebound in activity, with GDP growth reaching 1%. ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - United States
We cut our 2025 GDP growth forecast for the US by 0.4ppts to 2% to reflect the weaker start to the year, adjustments to our tariff assumptions, and the relentless policy uncertainty. We raised our forecast for the unemployment rate due to the large reduction in federal employment. ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Spain
Our GDP growth forecast for Spain is unchanged at 2.6% this month. We've maintained our strong outlook even though we assume that the US will impose tariffs on the EU over the coming months, as Spain stands to be one of the least affected countries. Spain will remain one of the fastest-growing e ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Portugal
We kept our GDP growth forecasts for Portugal broadly unchanged at 2.5% for 2025 and 2% for 2026. Portugal's government unexpectedly collapsed, with a snap election likely to occur in May. We don't think the renewed political crisis will derail an otherwise solid economic outlook supported b ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Austria
The economy contracted by 0.4% in Q4 2024 following data revisions, the eighth consecutive quarterly decline, shrinking by 1.5% over the course of last year. The data paint a picture of an economy in recession, dragged down by a struggling export sector. In the last quarter, positive contributions c ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Eurozone
We continue to expect the Eurozone's GDP will grow by 0.9% in 2025 and 1.2% in 2026. However, we have adjusted our assumption on EU military spending, which we think will gradually increase to 3% of GDP by end of the decade. This prompted us to raise our GDP projections slightly from next year. ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Mexico
We have halved our 2025 GDP growth forecast for Mexico to 0.7% to reflect heightened tariff uncertainty. The economy could still narrowly avoid a technical recession in Q1 due to base effects, but activity will remain subdued. Our growth forecast is now marginally below the consensus projection of 0 ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Peru
We have kept our GDP growth forecast for Peru unchanged at 2.6% for 2025, down 0.7ppts from last year. Private consumption will continue to be the main driver, supported by low inflation, flexible financial conditions, and a stable labor market. However, we expect net trade to drag on the economy, g ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Cambodia
We maintain our upbeat view on the Cambodian economy. We expect GDP growth of 6.3% y/y in 2025, up from an estimated 6% in 2024. Downside risks remain present, but we see the overall growth outlook as positive, given higher investment and the recovery of private consumption. ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Kenya
The Kenyan government has raised its projected expenditure for the 2024/25 fiscal year (FY, July to June) to KSh3.98trn, underscoring ongoing difficulties in managing its public finances. Following the withdrawal of the 2024 Finance Bill, government spending was initially trimmed by 2.8% to KSh3.88t ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Africa
The Zambian economy started the year on the back foot, clipped by elevated drought-related import needs, a weak kwacha exchange rate, and escalating inflation. Yet, a precipitation-induced economic recovery is possible. Despite a delayed start to the rainy season, water levels are rising, strengthen ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Nigeria
Nigeria’s fortunes appear to be turning around. In the final quarter of 2024, seasonally adjusted real GDP growth reached 4.4% y/y, the highest growth rate since Q3 2021 (4.5% y/y). The non-oil economy drove the national growth increase, while the oil sector expanded at a slower pace. We remain caut ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Kazakhstan
We've increased our 2025 GDP growth forecast for Kazakhstan to 6.9% from 6.3% as some of last year's strong growth momentum will have spilled over to this year. Domestic demand rose quickly in H2 2024 on a combination of positive factors – the development of new transport and foreign trade l ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Africa - Egypt
Geopolitical tensions and a reconstruction plan for Gaza took centre stage during the past month. At an emergency Arab League summit in Egypt on March 4, President Abdel Fattah Al-Sisi and the leaders of several Arab nations presented a reconstruction plan for the Gaza Strip. The plan is a positive ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - United Kingdom
Speaking at the UK Treasury Select Committee this week, members of the Monetary Policy Committee largely confirmed our priors about whether they think the recent weakness in UK activity was mainly demand- or supply-driven. We think the 'cut-hold' approach to loosening policy is likely to con ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - Emerging Markets
Our updated estimates of neutral interest rates for emerging market economies show that although most have risen since September 2023, the median increase has only been around ten basis points. Three countries that have had higher long-run inflation forecast revisions – Turkey, Brazil, and Mexico – ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - Eurozone
Two events this week could result in a significant shift in Europe's fiscal policy. First, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen on Tuesday announced the 'ReArm Europe' plan, aimed at increasing EU security spending. Second, the two German parties that will very likely form ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - US
A North American trade war unfolded in dramatic fashion this week. Though the initial duties on March 4 were eventually watered down, tariff rates on Canada and Mexico have still ended up at double-digit levels, a substantial increase from before. ... Read More
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