Oxford Economics
Established in 1981, Oxford Economics originated as a collaborative venture with Oxford University's business collective, aiming to extend economic forecasting and modeling services to United Kingdom-based companies and financial institutions with international aspirations. Evolving over time, the firm has achieved global renown, ascending to a position of prominence as one of the leading independent advisory entities on a worldwide scale.
The firm's extensive repertoire encompasses an array of reports, forecasts, and analytical tools spanning across more than 3,000 cities, 200 countries, and 100 industrial sectors. At its core, Oxford Economics leverages sophisticated global economic and industry models, coupled with advanced analytical tools, enabling it to anticipate external market trends while offering precise evaluations of their economic, social, and business implications.
Integral to the firm's comprehensive approach are an array of research techniques and adept leadership capabilities, including:
- Econometric modeling
- Scenario framing
- Economic analysis encompassing market surveys, case studies, expert panels, and web analytics
Oxford Economics boasts a substantial global clientele, encompassing over 850 international organizations, positioning itself as a pivotal advisory partner to corporate, financial, and governmental decision-makers and thought leaders. With an accomplished in-house team of experts complemented by a vast contributor network consisting of more than 500 economists, analysts, and journalists worldwide, the firm consistently delivers robust insights.
Headquartered in Oxford, England, the firm's reach extends through regional centers in London, New York, and Singapore, complemented by a network of offices in Belfast, Chicago, Dubai, Miami, Paris, Philadelphia, San Francisco, and Washington, DC.
Notably, MarketResearch.com showcases Oxford Economics' economic research accomplishments on a global scale. Visitors to the platform can explore a gamut of offerings, including weekly economic briefings, monthly industry briefings, country economic forecasts, commodity price projections, and more, spanning an extensive array of countries and industries. The wealth of expertise and global insight underpinning Oxford Economics ensures that each economics report is meticulously crafted, offering comprehensive analytical depth.
1,060 Reports from Oxford Economics
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Analysis by Region - Africa - Algeria
Global volatility and uncertainty have heightened, and oil producers will likely be worse off. International capital and commodity markets were shaken when US President Donald Trump announced extremely severe reciprocal tariffs on April 2. Algerian companies were poised to pay a 30% tariff on goods ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - MENA
We have trimmed our 2025 GDP growth forecast for Turkey by 0.1ppt to 2.8% given headwinds to export and investment dynamics from the global tariff uncertainty and domestic political crackdown. Although incoming data show a stronger Q1 than we expected a month ago, this is countered by downward revis ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - France
We've left our forecast for GDP growth in France in 2025 unchanged at 0.5%, as the 10% US tariffs on European exports broadly match what was already part of our baseline. We've revised GDP growth for next year down slightly, from 1.0% to 0.8%, since global growth will be weaker and higher un ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Ireland
We have lowered our GDP forecasts for Ireland to 2.6% in 2025 and 1.2% in 2026, from 3.1% and 2.5% last month. Our assumptions on US-EU tariffs have not materially changed, but we now assume Irish exports of pharmaceutical products to the US will soon be subject to a 25% tariff, similar to other sec ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - US
March retail sales showed consumers are acting rationally by front-loading spending, particularly on vehicles. The Manheim used vehicle price index has resumed rising. The Manheim index generally leads consumer prices by two months. Our April forecast is that tariff induced inflation peaks midyear a ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Australia
We have downgraded our forecasts for Australia due to the major disruptions to the global economy caused by changes to US trade policy. We now expect growth of 1.8% in 2025 (down from 2.1%), and 2.1% in 2026 (from 2.5%). Australia's direct exposure to higher US trade barriers is low. But weaker ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Spain
We have raised our 2025 GDP growth forecast for Spain by 0.1ppt to 2.7% amid indications that economic activity remains strong despite the adverse global environment. Spain stands to be relatively more insulated from the current trade war with the US than other European countries, and activity will ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Denmark
We've slashed our 2025 GDP growth forecast for Denmark by 1.4ppts to 1.8%. We assume that the US government will impose a 25% tariff on its imports of pharmaceuticals in late Q2, which will significantly affect Denmark's growth outlook due to the importance of pharmaceutical production for t ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Portugal
We have trimmed our GDP growth forecasts for Portugal to 2.4% for 2025 and 1.9% for 2026, down from 2.5% and 2.0% previously. The stronger-than-expected increase in US protectionism and continued high uncertainty drove this revision. Still, our growth forecasts are consistent with Portugal continuin ... Read More
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Industry - Commodity Price Forecasts - Commodity Price Forecasts
We have downgraded our Brent oil price forecast to average $67.50pb this year. Earlier this month Brent fell to $65pb, its lowest level since 2021, as the United States’ announcement of reciprocal tariffs dampened the outlook for global demand, triggering a sell-off in oil markets. An OPEC+ announce ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - Eurozone
The flurry of recent tariff announcements and reversals from the US has continued to affect leading indicators in the Eurozone, with the ZEW sinking this week at a rate consistent with large crises. Together with abysmal soft data from the US, this highlights the corrosive impact of policy uncertain ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - United Kingdom
This week's labour market and inflation releases reported continued stickiness in the Bank of England's favoured measure of inflation and in pay growth. Evidence on the likely impact of this month's national insurance and national living wage rises has been mixed. Redundancy notification ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Greece
The US administration's erratic trade policy prompts a downward revision of our GDP growth forecast for Greece. This primarily reflects reduced goods exports and fixed investment, as tariff-related uncertainty persuades firms to delay investment projects. ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Germany
We left our near-term forecasts unchanged this month at 0% GDP growth for this year and 0.9% in 2026, with inflation at 2.1% in 2025 and 1.8% in 2026. This stability reflects the positive effects of the initial impact from Germany's fiscal sea change offset by the weaker and more uncertain globa ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Canada
We've cut our GDP forecasts for Canada by 0.4ppts to 0.7% growth in 2025 and by 0.1ppt to a 0.2% contraction in 2026. Despite lower US-Canada tariffs, we expect Canada's recession will be deeper due to weaker global demand from higher US tariffs on the rest of the world. ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Peru
We have kept our GDP growth forecast for Peru unchanged at 2.6% for 2025 but cut our projection for 2026 by 0.3ppts to 2.6%. Still, we recognise downside risks to our outlook. On the domestic front, renewed social unrest triggered by rising insecurity led to strikes in the capital city during April. ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Austria
We have cut our growth outlook for the Austrian economy by 0.1ppt and anticipate another contraction of 0.2% this year. We believe the economy will struggle to grow in the first half of the year, gradually improving towards year-end. US tariffs on EU goods, particularly the 25% tariffs on cars, pose ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Thailand
Following US President Trump's tariff announcements in early April, we've downgraded our GDP growth forecast for Thailand to 2.3% in 2025, from 2.5% previously, and 2.4% in 2026, from 2.7%. ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - United States
We’ve lowered our 2025 GDP growth forecast for the US by 0.8ppts to 1.2%. However, this paints a brighter picture of how the economy will fare this year because this figure is flattered by a favorable base effect. We forecast average annualized GDP growth this year will be 0.5%, leaving the economy ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Italy
We have raised our 2025 GDP growth forecast for Italy slightly to 0.5% and lowered our projection for 2026 by 0.2ppts to 0.5%. Momentum likely improved in Q1, but heightened trade uncertainty will make businesses reluctant to invest, so we envisage slower growth further ahead. We think the US will m ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - United Kingdom
The UK growth outlook has been damaged by higher US tariffs, which will weaken demand from the US and rest of the world for UK exports. A prolonged period of trade policy uncertainty will weigh on capital spending. Though a stronger-than-expected Q1 means our 2025 UK GDP growth forecast is unchanged ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Finland
We have revised down our growth forecast for this year and next due to trade policy uncertainty and lower global demand. We still expect a domestic demand-led pick-up in activity, with the key downside risk being higher trade protectionism. The announced increase in defence spending won't have a ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - India
High frequency indicators for Q1 suggest India's growth momentum softened at the start of 2025 after some recovery in Q4 2024. We expect activity to slow further in the coming quarters and have revised our GDP growth forecast to 6.5% in 2025, down from 6.7% previously, and 6.6% in 2026, down fro ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Kenya
Kenya has been hit by a 10% increase in tariffs on most of its exports to the US, notably apparel, which constituted 63% of Kenya’s exports to the US in 2023, as well as coffee and tea (14% of exports). Only a small share of Kenyan exports is exempt from the tariffs, including fuels (7%), ores, slag ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Mexico
We have cut our 2025 GDP growth forecast for Mexico by 0.7ppts from last month to near 0%, slightly below consensus of 0.3%. The economy edged closer to a technical recession in Q1 and the effects of the US trade war are still uncertain. We expect Mexico to experience a shallow V-shaped recession an ... Read More
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