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Carrier WiFi and Small Cells in LTE and Beyond: Market Opportunities and Forecasts 2014 - 2019

Carrier WiFi and Small Cells in LTE and Beyond: Market Opportunities and Forecasts 2014 - 2019

Mobile network operator “Heterogeneous Networks” (HetNet) are based on a combination of small cells, macro cells and carrier WiFi. HetNets are expected to play a pivotal role in addressing network capacity needs, bring about improvements in carrier operations, and create opportunities for new revenue streams.

This research provides an in-depth assessment of the carrier WiFi and small cells market, including business models, market drivers, challenges, value chain analysis, operator and vendor strategies, and a quantitative assessment of the industry with detailed forecasts for 2014 to 2019. The report includes analysis of business drivers, business case, and provides strategy assessment for implementation and operation.

The report covers the following topics:

  • Business Case for Carrier WiFi and Small Cells: An assessment of the business case for Carrier WiFi and small cells.
  • Technology Review: A review of the underlying technology supporting Carrier WiFi and small cell solutions
  • A Review of Carrier WiFi and Small Cell Deployments: A review of major Carrier WiFi and small cell solution deployments by Carriers worldwide
  • Carrier and Vendor Strategies: An analysis of how Carriers and vendors will position themselves to capitalize on Carrier WiFi and small cell opportunity
  • Market Analysis and Forecasts: A global and regional assessment of the market size (unit shipments and revenues) and forecasts for the Carrier WiFi and small cells market from 2014 to 2019
  • Industry Value Chain: An analysis of the Carrier WiFi and small cells value chain with indicative revenue assessments of key market players across the value chain and predictions about the economic model evolution
  • Carrier WiFi and Small Cells Industry Roadmap 2014 - 2019: An analysis of the roadmap for the industry from 2014 to 2019
This report is a must-read for anyone evaluating the potential for carrier WiFi and small cells in terms of revenue opportunities for infrastructure and service (including Cloud-based) vendors, network operator strategies, revenue opportunities, and the future of carrier networks. Questions answered in the report include:
  • How is the industry’s value chain structured?
  • What is future of Carrier WiFi and Small Cells?
  • How many LTE enabled small cells will ship in 2019?
  • What are the key strategies to develop for carrier WiFi operation?
  • How much will the Carrier WiFi and small cell markets be worth in 2019?
  • What are Carrier’s attitudes towards Carrier WiFi and small cell solutions?
  • What benefits do small cells and Carrier WiFi deployments bring to Carriers?
  • The much CAPEX can Carriers save by deploying Carrier WiFi and small cell solutions?
  • What will be the regional outlook for revenue in the Carrier WiFi and small cells market?
  • What is Cloud RAN and how will cloud RAN deployments affect the small cell industry?
  • Which vendors are leading the market and what key strategies for vendors capitalizing on?
All purchases of Mind Commerce reports includes time with an expert analyst who will help you link key findings in the report to the business issues you're addressing. This needs to be used within three months of purchasing the report.

Target Audience:
  • Investment Firms
  • Application Developers
  • Mobile Device Vendors
  • Mobile Network Carriers
  • Service Bureau Companies
  • WiFi Infrastructure Vendors
  • Wireless Infrastructure Vendors
  • Small Cell Infrastructure Vendors
  • Telecom Managed Service Providers
Key Findings:
  • Carriers must leverage opportunities for various small cell enabled value-added services
  • Market for small cell based advertising will begin in 2015-2016, accelerating in 2020 thanks to introduction of LTE Direct (LTE-D)
  • Carrier WiFi infrastructure market will grow at a CAGR of 43% over the next five years accounting for nearly $8 Billion in revenues by the end of 2019.
  • Small cell infrastructure market will grow at a CAGR of 45% over the next five years also accounting for nearly $8 Billion in revenues by the end of 2019.
  • Continued demand for mobile broadband services will play a critical role in maintaining the Carrier WiFi and small cell market’s growth, amid a growing demand of convergent, intelligent and vendor agnostic small cell platforms by Carriers.
  • Fixed line carriers are capitalizing on their infrastructure investments to offer Small Cells as a Service (SCaaS). Mind Commerce expects Fixed line carriers to form an integral part of the industry’s value chain representing as much as 20% of the revenue share.
  • Cloud RAN technology will complement and not essentially compete with small cell deployments.
Companies in Report:
  • ADTRAN
  • Airvana
  • Alcatel-Lucent
  • Aptilo
  • Aptilo Networks
  • Argela
  • Aruba Networks
  • AT&T Mobility
  • AudioCodes
  • BelAir Networks
  • Bouygues Telecom
  • British Telecom
  • BSNL
  • China Mobile
  • China Telecom
  • China Unicom
  • Chunghwa Telecom
  • Cisco
  • Claro (America Movil)
  • Clearwire
  • Clearwire
  • Colt Telecom
  • Comcast
  • Contela
  • Cox Communications
  • CSL Hong Kong
  • Devicescape
  • Eircom
  • Ericsson
  • Everything Everywhere
  • Genband
  • HTC Corporation
  • Huawei
  • Hutchison 3 Group
  • ip.access
  • iPass
  • Juniper Networks
  • KDDI
  • Kineto Wireless
  • Korea Telecom
  • KPN
  • LG Electronics
  • LG Uplus
  • Maxis
  • MegaFon
  • MetroPCS
  • Motorola Mobility
  • Motorola Solutions
  • Movilnet Venezuela
  • Movistar
  • MTS Russia
  • NEC
  • Nokia Siemens Networks
  • NTT DoCoMo
  • Oi Brazil
  • Optus (Australia)
  • Orange (France Telecom)
  • Orascom
  • Orascom
  • PLTD (Smart Communications Phillipines)
  • Portugal Telecom
  • PT Telkom
  • Qualcomm
  • Reliance Communications
  • Research in Motion
  • Rogers Canada
  • Ruckus Wireless
  • Samsung Group
  • SFR
  • SK telecom
  • Softbank
  • Sprint
  • Swisscom Mobile
  • Tata Teleservices
  • Tele2 Sweden
  • Telecom Italia Mobile
  • Telefónica Moviles
  • Telefónica O2
  • Telenor Group
  • TeliaSonera
  • Telstra
  • Telus Mobility Canada
  • Tim Brasil
  • T-Mobile Austria
  • T-Mobile Czech Republic
  • T-Mobile Europe
  • T-Mobile USA
  • Turkcell
  • Ubee-AirWalk
  • Ubiquisys
  • US.Cellular
  • Verizon Wireless
  • Vimpelcom
  • Virgin Media
  • Vodafone Essar
  • Vodafone Group
  • Vodafone Italy
  • Vodafone UK
  • Wind (Italy)
  • Wi-tribe (Pakistan)
  • Yota (Russia)
  • Zain Bahrain
  • Zain Kuwait
  • Zain Saudi Arabia


General Methodology

Mind Commerce Publishing's research methodology encompasses input from a wide variety of sources.

We rely heavily upon our Subject Matter Experts (SME) in terms of their market knowledge, unique perspective, and vision. We utilize SME industry contacts as well as previous customers and participants in our market surveys and interactive interviews.

In addition, we rely upon our extensive internal database, which contains modeling, qualitative analysis, and quantitative data. We review secondary sources and compare to our primary sources to update previous findings (for prior version reports) and/or compile baseline information for technology and market modeling.

We share preliminary models with industry contacts (select previous clients, experts, and thought leaders) to verify the veracity of initial modeling. Prior to final report production (analysis, findings, and conclusions), we engage in an internal review with internal SMEs as well as cross-expertise, senior staff members to challenge results.

We believe that forecasts should be prepared as part of an integrated process which involves both quantitative as well as qualitative factors. We follow the following 3-step process for forecasting.

Forecasting Methodology

Step 1 - Forecasts Input: The inputs for the present and historical revenues are derived from industry players. Financial and other quantitative data for individual sub-market categories are derived from original research and tested with interviews with major industry constituents.

Step 2 - Forecasting of Future Years: Mind Commerce extends forecasts based on a variety of factors including demand drivers as well as supply side data. Key success factors and assumptions are considered.

Step 3 - Validation of Data: The final step is to validate projections, which is accomplished in consultation with both internal and external industry experts, including both topic and regional experts. Adjustments are made to the forecasts based on factors identified throughout this process.


1 Introduction
1.1 Executive Summary
1.2 Topics Covered
1.3 Key Findings
1.4 Key Questions Answered
1.5 Target Audience
1.6 Companies Mentioned
2 Carrier WiFi and Small Cell Technology
2.1 Evolution towards Heterogeneous Networks
2.2 Carrier WiFi
2.2.1 Open Access vs. Mobile Data Offload Carrier WiFi
2.2.2 Convergence with Small Cell Solutions
2.3 Small Cells
2.3.1 Femtocells
2.3.2 Picocells
2.3.3 Microcells
2.3.4 Metrocells
2.4 Convergent Small Cell Architecture
2.5 Small Cell Deployment Scenarios
2.5.1 Home/Residential Deployments:
2.5.2 Enterprise Deployments:
2.5.3 Metro and Public Space Deployments:
2.5.4 Rural Deployments:
2.6 Carrier WiFi and Small Cell Standardization
2.6.1 The Small Cell Forum
2.6.2 Hotspot 2.0 Task Group
2.6.3 Next Generation Hotspot
3 Business Case for the Carrier WiFi and Small Cells
3.1 Key Market Drivers
3.1.1 The Increasing Demand for Mobile Broadband
3.1.2 CapEX and OpEX Reduction
3.1.3 Licensed RF frequencies
3.1.4 Support for Various Wireless Technologies/Environments
3.1.5 Higher Throughput per Cell
3.1.6 Quality of Service
3.1.7 Energy Savings: Towards a Greener Network Environment
3.1.8 New Application and Service Opportunities
3.1.9 Small Cell Targeted Advertising
3.2 Market Barriers and Challenges
3.2.1 Coverage and Performance Uncertainty
3.2.2 Security Considerations
3.2.3 Interference Management
3.2.4 Mobility Management
3.2.5 Self-Organization
3.2.6 Backhaul Challenges
3.2.7 Alternative Solutions
3.3 Carrier WiFi and Small Cells Value Chain
3.4 Carrier WiFi and Small Cell Industry Roadmap 2014 - 2019
3.4.1 2010 – 2012: Commercialization of Femtocells
3.4.2 2013 – 2014: Managed WiFi Data Offloading
3.4.3 2015 – 2019: The HetNets Era – Large Scale Integration of Macrocells, Cloud RAN Small Cells and Carrier WiFi
3.5 Carrier WiFi and Small Cells in LTE and Beyond: Key Trends
3.5.1 Integration of DAS
3.5.2 Small Cells as a Service (SCaaS) and Femtocells as a Service (FaaS)
3.5.3 Self-Organizing Networks (SON)
3.5.4 Cloud RAN and its Impact on the Small Cell Industry
3.5.5 Proliferation of WiFi Technology in Small Cells
4 Major Carrier WiFi and Small Cell Deployments
4.1 AT&T Mobility
4.2 Eircom
4.3 KDDI
4.4 Korea Telecom
4.5 SK Telecom
4.6 Optus Australia
4.7 SFR France
4.8 Sprint
4.9 Reliance Communications
4.10 Softbank Japan
4.11 NTT DoCoMo
4.12 SingTel
4.13 Telefonica O2 UK
4.14 T-Mobile
4.15 Tim Brasil
4.16 U.S Cellular
4.17 Verizon Wireless
4.18 Vodafone
4.19 China Mobile
4.20 Comcast
4.21 Zain Bahrain
4.22 Zain Saudi Arabia
4.23 Middle East
5 Vendor Landscape
5.1 Vendor Ranking Matrix
5.2 Vendor Product Portfolio and Strategy
5.2.1 ADTRAN
5.2.2 Argela
5.2.3 Airvana
5.2.4 Airspan Networks
5.2.5 Aptilo Networks
5.2.6 Arcadyan Technology Corporation
5.2.7 Aruba Networks
5.2.8 Alcatel-Lucent
5.2.9 Aviat Networks
5.2.10 Cavium
5.2.11 Cisco
5.2.12 Contela
5.2.13 Devicescape
5.2.14 Ericsson
5.2.15 Huawei
5.2.16 ip.access
5.2.17 Juniper Networks
5.2.18 Kineto Wireless
5.2.19 Motorola Solutions
5.2.20 NEC
5.2.21 Nokia Siemens Networks
5.2.22 Radisys
5.2.23 Ruckus Wireless
5.2.24 Samsung
5.2.25 Ubee-AirWalk
5.2.26 Ubiquisys
6 Strategies for Deployment and Operations
6.1 Network Planning and Dimensioning
6.2 Small Cell AP Type
6.3 Interference Management
6.4 Auto-configuration and SON
6.5 Carrier Aggregation
6.6 Seamless Mobility
6.7 Authentication and Security
6.8 Backhaul Solutions
6.9 Upgradability
6.10 Target Site Selection
6.11 Requirements Specification and Procurement
6.12 CapEx, OpEx, and TCO
7 Market Analysis & Forecasts
7.1 Global Carrier WiFi Market: 2014 - 2019
7.1.1 Global Carrier WiFi Unit Shipments and Revenue: 2014 - 2019
7.1.2 Global Carrier WiFi Access Point and Controller Unit Shipments: 2014 - 2019
7.1.3 WiFi Offload vs. Standard WiFi Access Points: 2014 - 2019
7.1.4 Regional Outlook of the Market: 2013 - 2018
7.2 Carrier WiFi Unit Shipments and Revenues by Region: 2014 - 2019
7.2.1 Asia Pacific
7.2.2 Eastern Europe
7.2.3 Latin & Central America
7.2.4 Middle East & Africa
7.2.5 North America
7.2.6 Western Europe
7.3 Global Small Cell Market: 2014 - 2019
7.3.1 Global Small Cell Unit Shipments and Revenue: 2014 - 2019
7.3.2 Global Small Cell Unit Shipments and Revenue by Cell Type: 2010 - 2019
7.3.3 Global Femtocell Unit Shipments and Revenue: 2010 - 2019
7.3.4 Global Picocell Unit Shipments and Revenue: 2010 - 2018
7.3.5 Global Microcell Unit Shipments and Revenue: 2010 - 2019
7.3.6 Global Small Cell Unit Shipments and Revenue by Technology: 2014 - 2019
7.3.7 Regional Outlook of the Market: 2014 - 2019
7.4 Small Cell Unit Shipments and Revenues by Region: 2014 - 2019
7.4.1 Asia Pacific
7.4.2 Eastern Europe
7.4.3 Latin & Central America
7.4.4 Middle East & Africa
7.4.5 North America
7.4.6 Western Europe
Figures
Figure 1: HetNet Ecosystem
Figure 2: Mobile Data Offloading via WiFi within a Carrier Network
Figure 3: Small Cell Deployments within a Carrier Network
Figure 4: Small Cell Deployments in Home, Enterprise, Urban and Rural Scenarios
Figure 5: Small Cell Forum’s Scope of Work
Figure 6: The Carrier WiFi and Small Cells Value Chain
Figure 7: Carrier WiFi and Small Cells Industry Roadmap: 2014 - 2019
Figure 8: Self Organizing Networks (SON)
Figure 9: KDDI’s 3M Vision and Strategy
Figure 10: Carrier WiFi Unit Shipments: 2010 – 2019
Figure 11: Carrier WiFi Unit Revenues: 2010 – 2019
Figure 12: Carrier WiFi Unit Shipments by Category: 2010 – 2019
Figure 13: Carrier WiFi Unit Shipment Revenues by Category: 2010 – 2019
Figure 14: WiFi Offload vs. Standard WiFi Access Point Unit Shipments: 2010 – 2019
Figure 15: Carrier WiFi Offload Access Point Unit Shipments: 2010 – 2019
Figure 16: Standard Carrier WiFi Access Point Unit Shipments: 2010 – 2019
Figure 17: WiFi Offload vs. Standard WiFi Access Point Unit Shipment Revenues: 2010 – 2019
Figure 18: Carrier WiFi Offload Access Point Unit Shipment Revenues: 2010 – 2019
Figure 19: Standard Carrier WiFi Access Point Unit Shipment Revenues: 2010 – 2019
Figure 20: Carrier WiFi Unit Shipments by Region: 2010 – 2019
Figure 21: Carrier WiFi Revenues by Region: 2010 – 2019
Figure 22: Carrier WiFi Unit Shipments in Asia Pacific: 2010 – 2019
Figure 23: Carrier WiFi Revenues in Asia Pacific: 2010 – 2019
Figure 24: Carrier WiFi Unit Shipments in Eastern Europe: 2010 – 2019
Figure 25: Carrier WiFi Revenues in Eastern Europe: 2010 – 2019
Figure 26: Carrier WiFi Unit Shipments in Latin & Central America: 2010 – 2019
Figure 27: Carrier WiFi Revenues in Latin & Central America: 2010 – 2019
Figure 28: Carrier WiFi Unit Shipments in Middle East & Africa: 2010 – 2019
Figure 29: Carrier WiFi Revenues in Middle East & Africa: 2010 – 2019
Figure 30: Carrier WiFi Unit Shipments in North America: 2010 – 2019
Figure 31: Carrier WiFi Revenues in North America: 2010 – 2019
Figure 32: Carrier WiFi Unit Shipments in Western Europe: 2010 – 2019
Figure 33: Carrier WiFi Revenues in Western Europe: 2010 - 2019 (USD Millions)
Figure 34: Small Cell Unit Shipments: 2010 – 2019
Figure 35: Small Cell Revenues: 2010 – 2019
Figure 36: Small Cell Unit Shipments by Cell Type: 2010 – 2019
Figure 37: Small Cell Revenues by Cell Type: 2010 – 2019
Figure 38: Femtocell Unit Shipments: 2010 – 2019
Figure 39: Femtocell Revenues: 2010 – 2019
Figure 40: Picocell Unit Shipments: 2010 – 2019
Figure 41: Picocell Revenues: 2010 – 2019
Figure 42: Microcell Unit Shipments: 2010 – 2019
Figure 43: Microcell Revenues: 2010 – 2019
Figure 44: Small Cell Unit Shipments by Technology: 2010 - 2019 (Thousands of Units)
Figure 45: Small Cell Revenues by Technology: 2010 - 2019
Figure 46: Small Cell Unit Shipments by Region: 2010 - 2019 (Thousands of Units)
Figure 47: Small Cell Revenues by Region: 2010 - 2019 (USD Millions)
Figure 48: Small Cell Unit Shipments in Asia Pacific: 2010 - 2019 (Thousands of Units)
Figure 49: Small Cell Revenues in Asia Pacific: 2010 – 2019
Figure 50: Small Cell Unit Shipments in Eastern Europe: 2010 - 2019 (Thousands of Units)
Figure 51: Small Cell Revenues in Eastern Europe: 2010 – 2019
Figure 52: Small Cell Unit Shipments in Latin & Central America: 2010 – 2019
Figure 53: Small Cell Revenues in Latin & Central America: 2010 – 2019
Figure 54: Small Cell Unit Shipments in Middle East & Africa: 2010 – 2019
Figure 55: Small Cell Revenues in Middle East & Africa: 2010 – 2019
Figure 56: Small Cell Unit Shipments in North America: 2010 – 2019
Figure 57: Small Cell Revenues in North America: 2010 – 2019
Figure 58: Small Cell Unit Shipments in Western Europe: 2010 – 2019
Figure 59: Small Cell Revenues in Western Europe: 2010 – 2019
Tables
Table 1: Carrier WiFi Vendor Ranking Matrix
Table 2: Small Cells Vendor Ranking Matrix
Table 3: Strategy Focus Areas for Deployment
Table 4: Small Cell Interference Types
Table 5: Interference Management Capabilities for Small Cells
Table 6: List of Fundamental SON Capabilities
Table 7: Strategic Requirements and Drivers for SON
Table 8: SON Architecture Types
Table 9: SON Vendors, Products, and Solutions
Table 10: Carrier Aggregation Types
Table 11: Small Cell Mobility Feature Requirements
Table 12: Solutions for Seamless Mobility Support in Small Cells
Table 13: Vendor Solutions for Seamless Mobility
Table 14: Authentication and Security Requirements
Table 15: Security Solutions for Small Cell Networks
Table 16: Backhaul Feature Requirements
Table 17: Backhaul Solution Requirements and Options
Table 18: Strategy Focus Areas for Business Aspects
Table 19: Strategy for Target Site Selection
Table 20: Key Areas for Requirements Specification and Procurement Plan

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