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3Q14 Latin America Mobile Operator Forecast, 2003 – 2017

3Q14 Latin America Mobile Operator Forecast, 2003 – 2017

IEMR’s Latin America Mobile Operator Forecast is the most comprehensive forecast of its kind in the world. This report provides operational and financial metrics for wireless markets across the region and is one of the best forecasts in the industry. We provide five-year forecasts at the operator level going out to 2017. We also provide quarterly historical and forecast data starting in 1Q2003 and ending in 3Q2016. Our forecast contains separate data for each country and their mobile operators. Our Mobile Operator Forecasts are updated quarterly and are available for one-time delivery or through regular updates.

By purchasing this report, you will receive an Excel file with 48 datasheets of operational and financial metrics such as post-paid subscribers, prepaid subscribers, subscriber growth, net subscriber adds, monthly churn, monthly ARPU, ARPU growth, data ARPU, MOU per subscriber, service revenue, EBITDA and CAPEX.

In this regional report, each datasheet covers 145 mobile operators in 45 countries. It is the most extensive company-specific and country-specific forecast of its kind.

Countries Covered in this Global Mobile Operator Forecast

Antigua & Barbuda
British Virgin Islands
Cayman Islands
Costa Rica
Dominican Republic
EI Salvador
Falkland Islands
French Guiana
French West Indies
Netherlands Antilles
Puerto Rico
Saint Kitts & Nevis
Saint Lucia
St Vincent & The Grenadines
Trinidad and Tobago
Turks & Caicos Islands
US Virgin Islands

Companies Covered in each of the Regional Mobile Operator Forecasts

Cable & Wireless Anguilla (LIME)
Digicel Anguilla (Digicel Group Limited)

Antigua & Barbuda
APUA (Antigua Public Utilities Authority)
Cable & Wireless Antigua and Barbuda (LIME)
Digicel Antigua and Barbuda (Digicel Group Limited)

Claro (America Movil S.A.B. DE C.V.) / CTI
Movicom (BLS)
Movistar Argentina (Telefonica S.A.)
Nextel Communications Argentina S.A.
Telecom Argentina S.A.

Digicel Aruba (Digicel Group Limited)
Setar N.V.

BTC (The Bahamas Telecommunications Company Ltd.) (Batelco)

Cable & Wireless (Barbados) Ltd. (LIME)
Digicel Barbados Ltd.

BTL DigiCell Limited (Belize Telemedia Limited)
Intelco (International Telecommunications Limited)
SpeedNet Communications Limited (SMART)

Bermuda Digital Communications Ltd. (Cellular One)
Digicel Bermuda (Digicel Group Limited)
M3 Wireless Ltd. (The Bermuda Telephone Company)

Movil de Entel (Entel S.A.)
Nuevatel PCS De Bolivia SA
Tigo - Millicom International Cellular S.A. (Telecel Bolivia)

Claro S.A. (America Movil S.A.B. DE C.V.)
CTBC Telecom (Companhia de Telecomunicações do Brasil Central)
Nextel Telecomunicações Ltda.
Sercomtel S.A.
Tele Norte Leste Participacoes (Oi)
TIM Participacoes SA
Unicel (Unicel do Brasil Telecomunicações Ltda.)
Vivo Participacoes SA

British Virgin Islands
Cable & Wireless British Virgin Islands (LIME)
Caribbean Cellular Telephone Ltd (CCT)
Digicel British Virgin Islands (Digicel Group Limited)

Cayman Islands
Cable & Wireless Cayman Islands (LIME)
Digicel Cayman Islands (Digicel Group Limited)

Bellsouth (CHL)
Claro Chile S.A.
Entel Chile (Empresa Nacional de Telecomunicaciones SA)
Movistar Chile (Telefonica S.A.)
Nextel Chile (Centennial Cayman Corp. Chile S.A.)

Comcel (America Movil S.A.B de C.V.)
Movistar Colombia (Telefonica S.A.)
Tigo Colombia (Millicom International Cellular S.A.)

Costa Rica
Claro Costa Rica (América Móvil)
I.C.E. (Instituto Costarricense de Electricidad)
Movistar Costa Rica (Telefónica Costa Rica)

Cable & Wireless Dominica (LIME)
Digicel Dominica (Digicel Group Limited)

Dominican Republic
Claro Dominican Republic (América Móvil, S.A.B. de C.V.)
Orange Dominicana S.A.
TRICOM Dominican Republic (Tricom S.A.)
Trilogy Dominicana S.A. (Viva)

Alegro (Telecsa S.A.)
Conecel S.A. (Porta)
Movistar (Telefónica Móviles Ecuador) (Otecel S.A.)

EI Salvador
CTE Telecom Personal S.A. de C.V. (Claro)
Digicel El Salvador (Digicel Group Limited)
Intelfon S.A. de C.V. (RED)
Movistar El Salvador (Telefónica Móviles El Salvador, S.A. de C.V.)
Tigo El Salvador (Telemovil, El salvador S.A.)

Falkland Islands
Cable & Wireless Falkland Islands

French Guiana
Digicel French Guiana (Digicel Group Limited)
Orange Caraibe French Guiana
Outremer Telecom French Guiana (Outremer Telecom S.A.)

French West Indies
Dauphin Telecom
Digicel French West Indies
Orange Caraibe French West Indies
Outremer Telecom French West Indies

Cable & Wireless Grenada (LIME)
Digicel Grenada (Digicel Group Limited) (Mossel)

Claro (Sercom S.A.)
Intelfon Guatemala (Intelfon S.A. de C.V.)
Movistar (Telefónica S.A.)
Tigo (Comunicaciones Celulares, S.A.)

Digicel Guyana (TWT Guyana) (Umobile)
GT&T (Guyana Telephone and Telegraph Company)

Comcel Haiti (Communication Cellulaire d'Haiti, S.A.) (Voila)
Digicel Haiti (Digicel Group Limited)
Haitel (Haiti Telecommunications International, S.A.)
Natcom Haiti

Claro (América Móvil, S.A.B. de C.V.) (Sercom de Honduras)
Digicel Honduras (Digicel Group Limited)
Hondutel (Empresa Hondureña de Telecomunicaciones)
Tigo Honduras (Millicom International Cellular S.A.) (Celtel)

Cable & Wireless Jamaica Ltd. (LIME)
Claro Jamaica (Oceanic Digital Jamaica Ltd.)
Digicel Jamaica Ltd. (Mossel)

Iusacell (Grupo Iusacell SAB de CV)
Movistar Mexico (Telefonica S.A.)
Nextel (Comunicaciones Nextel de Mexico S.A. de C.V.)
Telcel (Radiomovil Dipsa S.A. de C.V.)
Unefon S.A.

Cable & Wireless Montserrat (LIME)

Netherlands Antilles
Digicel (Bonaire)
Digicel (Curaçao)
East Caribbean Cellular N.V.
Setel N.V.
TelCell N.V.

Enitel-Claro (Empresa Nicaraguense de Telecomunicaciones S.A.)
Movistar (Telefonía Celular de Nicaragua)

Cable & Wireless Panama S.A. (+Movil)
Claro Panamá S.A.
Digicel Panamá S.A.
Movistar Panama (Telefonica Moviles Panama, S.A.)

Claro Paraguay (AMX Paraguay S.A.)
Núcleo S.A. (Personal)
Tigo Paraguay (Millicom International Cellular S.A.) (Telecel)
VOX (Hola Paraguay S.A.)

Claro S.A. (America Movil S.A.B. DE C.V.)
Movistar Perú (Telefonica, S.A.)
Nextel del Perú S.A.

Puerto Rico
AT&T Mobility Puerto Rico (AT&T Mobility LLC)
Centennial de Puerto Rico (part of AT&T Mobility since 4Q.2009)
Claro Puerto Rico (America Movil, S.A.B. de C.V.)
Open Mobile Puerto Rico
Sprint Nextel Puerto Rico (Sprint Nextel Corporation)
T-Mobile Puerto Rico (Deutsche Telekom AG)

Saint Kitts & Nevis
Cable & Wireless Saint Kitts and Nevis (LIME)
CariGlobe (UTS)
Digicel Saint Kitts and Nevis (Digicel Group Limited)

Saint Lucia
Cable & Wireless Saint Lucia (LIME)
Digicel Saint Lucia (Digicel Group Limited)

St Vincent & The Grenadines
Cable & Wireless Saint Vincent and the Grenadines (LIME)
Digicel Saint Vincent and the Grenadines (Digicel Group Limited)

Digicel Suriname N.V.
Intelsur-UTS (UNIQA)
Telesur (Telecommunications Company Suriname)

Trinidad and Tobago
Digicel (Trinidad & Tobago) Ltd.
TTST (Telecommunications Services of Trinidad and Tobago Ltd.) (bmobile)

Turks & Caicos Islands
Cable & Wireless Turks & Caicos Islands
Digicel Turks and Caicos Islands (Digicel Group Limited)
Islandcom Wireless (Islandcom Telecommunications Inc.)

Claro Uruguay (AM Wireless Uruguay S.A.)
Movistar Uruguay (Telefónica Móviles del Uruguay S.A.)

US Virgin Islands
AT&T Mobility US Virgin Islands (AT&T Mobility LLC)
Innovative Wireless (Vitelcom Cellular, Inc.)
Sprint Nextel US Virgin Islands (Sprint Nextel Corporation)

Movilnet (CA Nacional Telefonos de Venezuela (CANTV))
Movistar Venezuela (Telefonica S.A.)
Others (Infonet and Digicel)
Telvenco S.A. (Digitel)

Annual Results & Forecasts for each of the above operators is covered in this report for: CY 2003-CY 2017. Quarterly Results & Forecasts are covered for: March 2004 – June 2015

Please note: this is delivered as an Excel file.

Subscribers (000)
Subscriber growth (YoY %)
Net subscriber adds (000)
Net subscriber adds growth (YoY %)
Monthly churn (%)
Post-paid subscribers (000)
Post-paid subcriber growth (YoY %)
Prepaid subcribers (000)
Prepaid subscriber growth (YoY %)
Post-paid % of total subs
Prepaid/wsl % of total subs
Post-paid net adds (000)
Post-paid adds growth (YoY %)
Prepaid/wsl net adds (000)
Prepaid/wsl adds growth (YoY %)
Monthly ARPU (USD)
Monthly ARPU (EUR)
ARPU growth (YoY %)
Data % of service revenues
Data revenue as a percentage of service revenue
Non SMS data revenue as a percentage of total revenue
Data Revenue USD
Data Revenue EURO
Data Revenue Local Currency
Data Revenue non SMS USD
Data Revenue non SMS EURO
Data Revenue non SMS Local Currency
Data Revenue SMS USD
Data Revenue SMS EURO
Data Revenue SMS Local Currency
Voice Revenue USD
Voice Revenue EURO
Voice Revenue Local Currency
SMS data revenue as a percentage of total data revenue
Voice revenue as a percentage of service revenue
Incoming MOU
Outgoing MOU
MMS Traffic
SMS Traffic
Voice Traffic
Monthly data ARPU (USD)
Data ARPU growth (YoY %)
Monthly voice ARPU (USD)
Voice ARPU growth (YoY %)
Voice rev per minute (USD)
Voice RPM growth (YoY %)
MOU per sub (mins/month)
MOU/sub growth (YoY %)
Share of total subscribers
Share of net adds
Share of post-paid net adds
Share of prepaid/wsl net adds
Share of service revenue
YoY change in revenue share (bps)
Reported revenue (USD mn)
Reported revenue (EUR mn)
Reported revenue growth (YoY %)
Service revenue (USD mn)
Service revenue (EUR mn)
Service revenue growth (YoY %)
EBITDA growth (YoY %)
Capex (USD mn)
Capex (EUR mn)
Capex growth (YoY %)
EBITDA / reported revenue
EBITDA / service revenue
Incr EBITDA / Incr service rev
Capex / reported revenue
Capex / service revenue
(EBITDA-capex) / reported revenue
(EBITDA-capex) / service revenue
EBITDA margin expansion/contraction (bps)

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