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Worldwide Mobile Phone and Smartphone Installed Base Forecast, 2018–2022

Worldwide Mobile Phone and Smartphone Installed Base Forecast, 2018–2022
This IDC study analyzes the installed base of smartphone users across the globe by operating system (OS). It combines IDC's extensive knowledge of smartphones, smartphone users, subscribers, subscriber growth, and challenges and opportunities for different OSs. The document also covers the worldwide installed base of feature phone users. Findings in this document are based on information gathered from primary and secondary sources during the past six months."Although feature phones have been in sharp decline regarding shipments over the past few years, they still make up a relative size of the installed base, particularly in emerging markets within Asia and Africa," says Anthony Scarsella, research manager for IDC's Mobile Phones team. "The ultra-low-cost feature phone still plays a vital role in many big markets such as India, Indonesia, and Nigeria where smartphones still can't be afforded by most consumers. Within these markets, feature phones make up around 50% the mix or higher in the installed base. By 2022, the last year of our forecast, feature phones will control just over 43% of the installed base within these three fast-growing markets."

Please Note: Extended description available upon request.


IDC Market Forecast Figure
Executive Summary
Advice for Technology Suppliers
Innovation Needs to Encourage Handset Upgrades
Application and New Use-Case Development Must Be Critical
Market Forecast
Smartphone Forecast by Operating System
Market Context
Drivers and Inhibitors
Drivers
5G Handsets
Refurbished Devices
Inhibitors
Market Saturation
Refresh Cycle and Upgrade Cycle Are Lengthening
Significant Market Developments
Changes from Prior Forecast
Market Definition
Feature Phone
Smartphone
Methodology
Primary Data Sources
Secondary Data Sources
IDC's Worldwide Quarterly Mobile Phone Tracker
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