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IDC FutureScape: Worldwide National Security and Public Safety 2016 Predictions — Fighting the Good Fight

IDC FutureScape: Worldwide National Security and Public Safety 2016 Predictions — Fighting the Good Fight

The introduction of digital technologies and 3rd Platform technologies has significantly altered the technology landscape in the national security and public safety spaces, driving innovation, growth, and changes in business models. Technologies like cloud, big data and analytics, mobile devices and applications, and social business tools are all being brought to the forefront of both the agencies that are tasked with protecting nations and enforcing the laws and those groups and individuals opposed to these efforts. But this is only the beginning as new technologies continue to open up new fronts in the cyberbattle.According to National Security and Intelligence Research Director Alan Webber, "Government, and more central and national governments, is going to be more responsible for leading the charge to develop and implement technologies that protect citizens, businesses, and government agencies. These technologies can range from mobile apps to sensors to biometrics to robots and drones and everything in between."


IDC FutureScape Figure
IDC Opinion
In This Study
Situation Overview
Summary of Key Drivers
IDC FutureScape Predictions
Prediction 1: Cybersecurity Staffing — By 2017, 50%+ Government Cybersecurity Professionals Will Be Contractors as the Demand for Cybersecurity Experts Will Outstrip the Available Supply
Associated Drivers
IT, Business, and Government Impact
Guidance
Prediction 2: Government Spending on Cybersecurity — The Increase in the Number of Cyberattacks Will Drive Annual Spending on Cybersecurity from Less Than 2% to Over 5% of Agency Budgets
Associated Drivers
IT, Business, and Government Impact
Guidance
Prediction 3: Crowdsourcing Law Enforcement — By 2018, 50% of Law Enforcement Organizations Will Use Externally Crowdsourced Real-Time Citizen Data for Crime Prevention, Detection, and Response
Associated Drivers
IT, Business, and Government Impact
Guidance
Prediction 4: Police Use of the Cloud — By 2017, 20% of Law Enforcement Organizations Will Have Invested in Integrated Cloud and Analytics Solutions to Consolidate Information Silos
Associated Drivers
IT, Business, and Government Impact
Guidance
Prediction 5: Transnational Cybercrime — By 2019, More Than 30% of Crimes Committed by Transnational Criminal Networks Will Involve Theft or Use of Stolen Data Moved Across International Boundaries
Associated Drivers
IT, Business, and Government Impact
Guidance
Prediction 6: Global Privacy Standards — By 2017, Multinational Cybersecurity Frameworks for Digital Data Usage Will Foster Better Privacy Protections
Associated Drivers
IT, Business, and Government Impact
Guidance
Prediction 7: Cybercrime Costs Skyrocket — By 2016, Cybercrime Will Cost the Global Economy Over $650 Billion, Climbing to Over $1 Trillion by 2020
Associated Drivers
IT, Business, and Government Impact
Guidance
Prediction 8: Police Use of Sensors — As Crime Becomes More Mobile and Invisible, Organizations Will Spend More Than $200 Billion by 2020 on IoT-Enabled Solutions
Associated Drivers
IT, Business, and Government Impact
Guidance
Prediction 9: Analytics for Security — By 2017, More Than 80% of Agencies Will Employ Behavioral Analytics, Data Analysis, and Threat Intelligence to Monitor User Behavior and Detect External Attacks
Associated Drivers
IT, Business, and Government Impact
Guidance
Prediction 10: Cyberattacks Become Physical — In 2016, More Than 5% of Cyberattacks Will Result in Destruction of Data or Damage to Physical Resources or Infrastructure
Associated Drivers
IT, Business, and Government Impact
Guidance
Essential Guidance
Key Drivers
DX: Accelerating Business Disruption from Digital Transformation
Cy-Q: An Interconnected, Informed, Interactive, Intrusive, Intelligent, and Cognitive Ecosystem
Cloud Life: The Merging of Real Life with Digital Identity
21st Century Battleground: The Race for Cybersupremacy
East-West: Shifting Global Economic Power, Balance, and Influence
Connected Well-Being: Convergence of Mobile, Social, and Sensors
Rising Tide: The Societal Impact of Climate Extremes
Risky Business: International Impact of Economic Volatility
Safe Citizen: Rise of Safety and Compliance Standards and Enforcement for Critical Infrastructure and Services
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Related Research
Synopsis

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