Strategic Intelligence: Tariffs and Trade Wars Executive Briefing (Third Edition)

Strategic Intelligence: Tariffs and Trade Wars Executive Briefing (Third Edition)

Summary

The third edition of our tariff briefing covers the latest developments in President Trump's tariff campaign, including the expected impacts on the global economy and updated assessments of the likely impact of tariffs on all the sectors covered by GlobalData. With the impending deadline for the 90 day pause fast approaching, the question is what deals the US can negotiate and what level of tariffs will be agreed.

In the first 100 days of his second presidency, Donald Trump blew up eight decades of global trade rules with the imposition of a 10% global baseline and a reciprocal tariff framework, plus sizeable tariffs on strategic sectors. These measures have disrupted global supply chains and created significant uncertainty for businesses across the world, while also impacting consumer sentiment (which recently fell to a five-year low in the US). The focus on the coming months will be on which trade deals the US government is able to negotiate and at what level tariffs will settle in the medium term.

Key Highlights

• With the impending deadline for the 90 day pause fast approaching, the question is what deals the US can negotiate and what level of tariffs will be agreed. Even then, the tariff wars will change trade flows and lead to a further restructuring of supply chains. The reality is we are heading towards a more fractured world, and lower growth and higher inflation may result.

• This report outlines the impact of tariffs on the global economy and key industries.
• It includes analysis of the macroeconomic implications and outlines how this theme could play out over the coming weeks and months.
• Detailed insights are provided into the impact of tariffs in 15 sectors: aerospace, defense, and security, agribusiness, automotive, construction, consumer, financial services, medical devices, mining, oil and gas, pharma, power, retail, sport, technology, and travel and tourism.
• The report also includes our sector scorecards, which have been updated as appropriate to capture the impact of the emerging trade war.

• All sectors are impacted by higher tariffs and the prospect of a global trade war, whether directly (such as by Trump’s baseline global 10% tariff) or indirectly by the impact on the wider economy. Understand the impact on your business with GlobalData's executive briefing, which includes analysis from our industry analysts and macroeconomic experts.