Strategic Intelligence: Critical Minerals
Description
Strategic Intelligence: Critical Minerals
Summary
As the global energy transition accelerates, it is driving unprecedented demand for critical minerals. Simultaneously, the technology sector demands materials with exceptional electrical, optical, and thermal properties, while the defense sector increasingly relies on these critical minerals for high-performance magnets, sensors, and other applications.
Key Highlights
Summary
As the global energy transition accelerates, it is driving unprecedented demand for critical minerals. Simultaneously, the technology sector demands materials with exceptional electrical, optical, and thermal properties, while the defense sector increasingly relies on these critical minerals for high-performance magnets, sensors, and other applications.
Key Highlights
- Sectors reliant on critical minerals face significant challenges due to critical supply-side risks in the mining sector. Four key risks stand out: mineral depletion, resource monopolization, geopolitics, and ESG.
- The near-term depletion of critical minerals raises concerns, especially amid instability in the mining market, which drives price volatility. Lower-grade ores complicate extraction, making it less efficient, particularly in the copper industry. Recycling will play a key role in diversifying supply chains.
- The concentration of critical minerals in specific regions creates uneven resource distribution and volatile market dynamics. For example, much of the world’s lithium reserves are in South America, the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) provides much of the world’s cobalt, and Indonesia dominates nickel production. To secure supply chains, many nations, including the US and China, are funding infrastructure and energy projects in South America and Africa.
- This report provides an overview of the critical minerals theme.
- It looks at demand-side drivers for critical minerals, including electric vehicles, solar energy, wind energy, nuclear power, and hydrogen, and supply-side risks for critical minerals, including mineral depletion, resource monopolization, geopolitics, and ESG.
- The report includes analysis of critical mineral strategies by region, covering North America, Central and South America, Europe, China, Asia (excluding China), Afria, Australia, and the Middle East.
- It also incoporates profiles of key players in critical minerals mining.
- This report examines in detail 15 minerals vital to the energy transition. Of these 15 minerals, GlobalData has identified the five most critical: lithium, cobalt, copper, nickel, and rare earth elements (REEs). These minerals are imperative to the development of batteries as well as solar, wind, nuclear, and hydrogen energy
Table of Contents
64 Pages
- Executive Summary
- Players
- Thematic Briefing
- Critical minerals for energy transition
- Demand Drivers for Critical Minerals
- Climate tech
- Electric vehicles
- Solar power
- Wind power
- Nuclear power
- Hydrogen
- Technology
- Key critical minerals used in AI and digital technologies
- Data centers case study
- Defense
- Key uses of critical minerals in the defense sector
- Supply-Side Risks for Critical Minerals
- Mineral depletion
- Critical minerals prices are volatile
- The decreasing ore grade is an issue
- Recycling is vital to address supply chain vulnerabilities
- Resource monopolization
- Monopolization poses a growing threat
- Nickel is the main character in Southeast Asia
- China controls the graphite market
- Geopolitics
- Trade wars and conflicts pose huge risks to mineral security
- Myanmar is disrupting the Chinese supply of REEs
- ESG
- Water stress is a serious issue
- Indigenous opposition can cause loss of social license
- Critical Minerals Strategies by Region
- North America
- North America’s governments support critical minerals projects
- Building a domestic supply chain through strategic trade measures
- The US is investing in Africa
- Central and South America
- Europe
- Domestic funding to support the critical minerals supply has increased
- Foreign investments are needed because Europe is not self-sufficient
- China
- China is investing billions in Africa, South America, and Indonesia
- China is tightening its grip on REEs
- Asia (excluding China)
- Policy frameworks targeted at critical minerals are gaining strength
- Africa
- Africa is a geopolitical battleground
- Australia
- Australia's ambitious critical mineral strategy
- The Middle East
- Companies
- Glossary
- Further Reading
- GlobalData reports
- Our Thematic Research Methodology
- Report Authors
- About GlobalData
- Contact Us
- List of Tables
- Table 1: Critical Minerals Strategies by Region
- Table 2: Companies
- Table 3: Glossary
- Table 4: Report Authors
- List of Figures
- Figure 1: Leading players in the critical minerals theme
- Figure 2: In 2030, 88% of Brazil’s national energy mix will come from renewables
- Figure 3: The most important countries in critical minerals production
- Figure 4: The production of the most critical minerals is dominated by a few countries
- Figure 5: BEV sales were more than double PHEV sales in 2025
- Figure 6: Global solar PV installed capacity will breach the 8TW mark in 2035
- Figure 7: Global wind power installed capacity will reach 3.1TW by 2035
- Figure 8: By 2035, nuclear energy installed capacity will be 26% higher than in 2025
- Figure 9: Key critical minerals used in AI and digital technologies
- Figure 10: The four key risks facing the supply of critical minerals
- Figure 11: Critical minerals are experiencing price volatility
- Figure 12: The low recycling rate of critical minerals can exacerbate shortages
- Figure 13: China will continue to dominate critical mineral refinement
- Figure 14: Geographic production monopolies will remain relatively unchanged in 2030
- Figure 15: Indonesia is the largest global nickel producer
- Figure 16: Nickel exports and imports dynamics
- Figure 17: Global graphite production is set to grow significantly between 2025 and 2030
- Figure 18: Key milestones of the US-China trade war since 2018
- Figure 19: Myanmar borders overview & Location of the REEs mining site in Kachin State
- Figure 20: The mining of critical minerals is water-intensive
- Figure 21: Copper and lithium mines are typically found in water-stressed regions
- Figure 22: Canada has numerous REE projects
- Figure 23: The Lobito Corridor project traverses Angola, the DRC, and Zambia
- Figure 24: In 2025, Chile was the top producer and exporter of copper in the region
- Figure 25: China plays a dominant role in the processing and refining of many critical minerals
- Figure 26: The critical minerals potential in Africa is high
- Figure 27: Australia is one of the most resource-rich nations globally
- Figure 28: Our approach to identifying the companies most likely to succeed in a sector over the next five years
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