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Thriving Through Economic, Geopolitical, and Business Risks and Transformation

Publisher Frost & Sullivan
Published Jun 28, 2024
SKU # MC18942529

Description

Thriving Through Economic, Geopolitical, and Business Risks and Transformation


Strategic Diversification, Digital Transformation, and Scenario Planning are Key to Resilience Building and Risk Mitigation

Companies need to increasingly plan for business scenarios tied to fast-changing macroeconomic dynamics and risk conditions. Staying ahead of the curve requires extensive scenario planning and nimble responses to evolving risk conditions, such as economic, geopolitical, technological, climate change, and labor and human capital risks.

This thought leadership analysis evaluates the top risks CEOs and their leadership teams should prepare for in 2024-25, with economic and geopolitical risks dominating the risk landscape. In terms of economic risks, further cross-border geopolitical flare-ups could fuel inflationary pressures, derailing central bank interest rate cut plans. On the trade front, the United States has raised tariffs against China. The looming risk of an intensifying US-China trade war could disrupt trade flows and drive up costs for end consumers. Global supply chains and semiconductor production could come under pressure in case of geopolitical conflicts involving Taiwan or South Korea, major semiconductor producers. On the technological front, generative AI has become a go-to technology for efficiency and output maximization. Companies also need to secure themselves against generative AI-linked breaches.

The analysis qualitatively and quantitatively evaluates 23 global risks based on the parameters of global economic impact, likelihood, and impact timelines, with risk scores generated for the global risk universe. The findings of this exercise have been encapsulated in a global risk heatmap, enabling companies to immediately identify high risks to product lines and markets. The analysis also outlines pre-risk mitigation and post-risk responsiveness measures for the top 5 global risks from 2024-25. Companies that effectively plan for these risks and transformations are poised to gain a competitive edge during disruptive times.

KEY ISSUES ADDRESSED

What is the risk universe for 2024-25 and what are the factors driving these risks?
Which are the top 5 risks businesses need to prepare for to thrive?
How does the economic impact of delayed rate cuts compare to a US-China trade war escalation?
What is the risk score of a potential China invasion of Taiwan against that of a global recession?
Does the risk score of technological risks outperform that of climate change risks?
How should businesses navigate emerging global risks?
What risk mitigation strategies should businesses deploy to counter economic risks?
What growth opportunities should businesses capitalize on as the risk landscape evolves?

Table of Contents

Strategic Imperatives
Why is it Increasingly Difficult to Grow?
The Strategic Imperative 8™
The Impact of the Top 3 Strategic Imperatives on the Global Business Environment
Growth Opportunities Fuel the Growth Pipeline Engine™
Growth Opportunity Analysis
Growth Drivers and Restraints
2024–2025 Risks Outlook
Universal Risk Mapping
Economic Risks—Driving Factors
Geopolitical Risks—Driving Factors
Technological and Labor and Human Capital Risks—Driving Factors
Environmental and Climate Change Risks—Driving Factors
Risk Impact, Probability, and Timeline Summary
Risk Scoring
Risk Ranking and Score Summary
Top 5 Global Risks— Impact and Risk Responsiveness
Recurring Inflationary Shocks—Impact and Risk Responsiveness
Recurring Trade and Supply Chain Disruptions—Impact and Risk Responsiveness
Israel-Hamas War Escalation into a Middle East War—Impact and Risk Responsiveness
US-China Trade War Intensification—Impact and Risk Responsiveness
Global Recession—Impact and Risk Responsiveness
Growth Opportunity Universe
Growth Opportunity 1: Production and Supply Chain Diversification to Newer Go-to Markets
Growth Opportunity 2: Technological Transformation
Growth Opportunity 3: Product Portfolio Diversification and Restrategizing
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