Ammonia Market Report 2026-2036

The Ammonia Market Report 2026-2036 (Including Impact of U.S. Trade Tariffs): This report will prove invaluable to leading firms striving for new revenue pockets if they wish to better understand the industry and its underlying dynamics. It will be useful for companies that would like to expand into different industries or to expand their existing operations in a new region.

Food Security and the Nitrogen Fertiliser Imperative Are Keeping 'Base-Load' Ammonia Demand Structurally Strong

The single most durable driver remains global food security: ammonia is the indispensable precursor for nitrogen fertilisers (urea, ammonium nitrate/CAN, ammonium sulphate and phosphate fertiliser intermediates), and demand resilience is reinforced by population growth, dietary changes, and the need to protect yields under climate volatility. Even when fertiliser affordability compresses near-term purchasing, governments and large agribusiness supply chains tend to support nitrogen availability because yield losses are economically and politically unacceptable. This keeps conventional (grey) ammonia volumes large and sticky, and it also creates a pathway for 'decarbonised fertiliser' premiums where offtake contracts can be structured with large buyers. Major fertiliser producers continue to frame ammonia supply as strategic infrastructure rather than a cyclical commodity, and many are coupling operational reliability upgrades with selective low-carbon expansions to defend both volume and margin in the next cycle.

Natural Gas and Coal Price Volatility Still Dictates Margins, Curtailments, and Regional Competitiveness in Conventional Ammonia

Ammonia economics remain highly sensitive to energy input costs because the hydrogen production step (SMR for gas or gasification for coal) dominates variable cost. When gas prices spike, high-cost producers curtail, supply tightens, and prices become disorderly; when prices normalise, marginal capacity returns and compresses spreads. This volatility restrains long-term planning for both producers and large buyers, particularly in regions where feedstock pricing is structurally higher or more volatile. It also complicates investment in decarbonisation: boards hesitate to approve major capex when baseline ammonia margins can swing sharply on energy markets, and customers hesitate to sign long-duration offtakes without robust indexation and risk-sharing.

What would be the Impact of US Trade Tariffs on the Global Ammonia Market?

U.S. tariff measures on energy-intensive commodities, including ammonia and ammonia-derived fertilisers, have introduced additional cost pressures and uncertainty into the global ammonia market. Although ammonia is not always directly targeted, tariffs on related inputs, equipment, or downstream fertiliser products affect production economics, trade flows, and investment decisions. The impact is particularly relevant for exporters supplying the U.S. market and for countries indirectly affected through shifts in global pricing, altered trade routes, and changes in capacity utilisation. Visiongain's analysis indicates that the market response to U.S. tariff actions varies by region and depends on the duration, scope, and interaction with broader energy and climate policies.

What Questions Should You Ask before Buying a Market Research Report?

• How is the ammonia market evolving?
• What is driving and restraining the ammonia market?
• How will each ammonia submarket segment grow over the forecast period and how much revenue will these submarkets account for in 2036?
• How will the market shares for each ammonia submarket develop from 2026 to 2036?
• What will be the main driver for the overall market from 2026 to 2036?
• Will leading ammonia markets broadly follow the macroeconomic dynamics, or will individual national markets outperform others?
• How will the market shares of the national markets change by 2036 and which geographical region will lead the market in 2036?
• Who are the leading players and what are their prospects over the forecast period?
• What are the ammonia projects for these leading companies?
• How will the industry evolve during the period between 2026 and 2036? What are the implications of ammonia projects taking place now and over the next 10 years?
• Is there a greater need for product commercialisation to further scale the ammonia market?
• Where is the ammonia market heading and how can you ensure you are at the forefront of the market?
• What are the best investment options for new product and service lines?
• What are the key prospects for moving companies into a new growth path and C-suite?

You need to discover how this will impact the ammonia market today, and over the next 10 years:

• Our 418-page report provides 136 tables and 198 charts/graphs exclusively to you.
• The report highlights key lucrative areas in the industry so you can target them - NOW.
• It contains in-depth analysis of global, regional and national sales and growth.
• It highlights for you the key successful trends, changes and revenue projections made by your competitors.

Forecasts to 2036 and other analyses reveal commercial prospects

• In addition to revenue forecasting to 2036, our new study provides you with recent results, growth rates, and market shares.
• You will find original analyses, with business outlooks and developments.
• Discover qualitative analyses (including market dynamics, drivers, opportunities, restraints and challenges), cost structure, impact of rising ammonia prices and recent developments.

Segments Covered in the Report

By Form

• Anhydrous Ammonia
• Aqueous Ammonia (Ammonium Hydroxide)

By Product Type

• Conventional Ammonia (grey)
• Low-carbon Ammonia (blue)
• Renewable Ammonia (green)

By Application Type

• Chemical Feedstock
• Direct Application (fertiliser/ammoniation)
• Fuel/ Energy Carrier
• Refrigerant

By End-Use

• Fertilisers
• Industrial Chemicals
• Refrigeration
• Energy/ Fuel Uses
• Other End-Uses

By Production Route

• Natural gas-based (SMR/Haber-Bosch)
• Coal-based (Gasification/Haber-Bosch)
• Oil/naphtha-based
• Blue ammonia (fossil-based + CCUS)
• Green ammonia (renewable H₂ via electrolysis)
• Other Production Routes

In addition to the revenue predictions for the overall world market and segments, you will also find revenue forecasts for five regional and 25 leading national markets:

North America

• U.S.
• Canada

Europe

• Germany
• Poland
• France
• Netherlands
• Russia
• Rest of Europe

Asia Pacific

• China
• India
• Indonesia
• Japan
• Australia
• Rest of APAC

Latin America

• Brazil
• Mexico
• Rest of Latin America

MEA

• GCC
• South Africa
• Rest of MEA

The report also includes profiles and for some of the leading companies in the Ammonia Market, 2026 to 2036, with a focus on this segment of these companies' operations.

Leading companies profiled in the report

• BASF SE
• CF Industries Holdings
• Deepak Fertilisers and Petrochemicals Corporation Limited
• Fertiglobe
• Grupa Azoty
• Indian Farmers Fertiliser Cooperative (IFFCO)
• Koch Fertiliser
• LSB Industries
• Mysore Ammonia Pvt. Ltd.
• Petroleo Brasileiro S.A
• PT Pupuk Indonesia
• Qatar Fertiliser Company
• SABIC
• Uralchem
• Yara International.

Overall world revenue for Ammonia Market, 2026 to 2036 in terms of value the market will surpass US$89.95 billion in 2026, our work calculates. We predict strong revenue growth through to 2036. Our work identifies which organisations hold the greatest potential. Discover their capabilities, progress, and commercial prospects, helping you stay ahead.

How will the Ammonia Market, 2026 to 2036 report help you?

In summary, our 410+ page report provides you with the following knowledge:

• Revenue forecasts to 2036 for Ammonia Market, 2026 to 2036, with forecasts for form, product type, application type, end-use, and production route, each forecast at a global and regional level - discover the industry's prospects, finding the most lucrative places for investments and revenues.
• Revenue forecasts to 2036 for five regional and 25 key national markets - See forecasts for the Ammonia Market, 2026 to 2036 in North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, Latin America, and MEA. Also forecasted is the market in the US, Canada, Mexico, Brazil, Germany, France, Poland, Italy, China, India, Japan, Russia, Indonesia, and Australia among other prominent economies.
• Prospects for established firms and those seeking to enter the market - including company profiles for 15 of the major companies involved in the Ammonia Market, 2026 to 2036.

Find quantitative and qualitative analyses with independent predictions. Receive information that only our report contains, staying informed with invaluable business intelligence.

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