PreK-12 Enrollment and Demographics 2025-2026

Simba Information’s PreK-12 Enrollment and Demographics, 2025-2026 provides a thorough analysis of shifting student demographics and enrollment patterns. The report details declining birth rates, expanding school choice initiatives, and mounting financial pressures on public schools. It explores how these factors are shaping the future of education and impacting school districts, policymakers, and education providers. With enrollment projected to decline by 3.7% through 2031, the report offers actionable insights on how stakeholders can adapt to a rapidly evolving market.


  • Executive Summary
    • Key Findings
  • Methodology
    • Data Sources and Collection
    • Data Analysis and Synthesis
    • Scope and Limitations
  • Enrollment Trends
    • Public School Enrollments Steady in 2023
      • Trends by Region and State
        • Table Percent Change in Public School Enrollment by Region, 2013 – 2023
        • Table Change in Public Elementary and Secondary Schools Enrollment by State, 2013 to 2023, 2019 to 2023, and 2022 to 2023
      • Grade-Level Trends
        • Table Enrollment in Public Elementary and Secondary Schools by Level and Grade, 2018 – 2031 (in thousands)
        • Table Change in Enrollment in Public Elementary and Secondary Schools by Level and Grade, 2018 – 2031
        • Table Percentage of Students Enrolled in Public PreK-12 Schools by Grade Level Band, 2018, 2022, and 2031
      • Future Projections
    • Enrollments At Alternative Schools Grow
      • Table Percentage of PreK-12 Students Attending Public, Private, and Public Charter Schools, Fall 2011 vs. Fall 2021
      • Demographic Differences
        • Table Percentage of Public, Private, and Public Charter Schools by Race/Ethnicity, Fall 2021
    • Reasons for the Trends Away from Public Schools
      • Declining Birth Rates and Immigration
      • Quality of Public School Education
      • School Choice
      • The Future
    • Number and Location of Schools
      • Table Number of Public Schools and Average Number of Students Enrolled by School Level, 2023-2024 School Year
      • Table Percentage of Public, Charter, and Private Schools by Type of Community, Fall 2021
  • General Population Trends
    • Birth and Fertility Rates
      • Reasons for the Declines
    • Immigration
    • Under-18 Population Trends
      • Table Number of Children Ages 0-17 in the US by Age, 2019 – 2022 (in millions)
      • Table Number of Children Ages 0-17 in the US by Age, Projected, 2023 – 2029 (in millions)
    • Population Trends by State
      • Table Population and Population Trends by State, 2024
      • Table Percent of Population 0-18 by State, 2023
  • The Public School Landscape
    • Race and Ethnicity
      • Table Public School Enrollments by Race/Ethnicity, Selected Years, 2013 – 2023 (in thousands)
      • Table Enrollment in Public Elementary and Secondary Schools by Level and Race/Ethnicity, 2023 (in thousands)
    • Immigration
      • State Trends
        • Table Share of Public School Students from Immigrant Households and Top-Sending Countries by State, Fall 2021
      • Undocumented Immigration
    • English Learners
      • Table English Learners (ELs) Enrolled in Public Elementary and Secondary Schools, Fall 2011 through Fall 2021
      • Characteristics of English Learners
        • Table English Learners by Race/Ethnicity, Fall 2021
    • Poverty
      • Table Number and Percentage of Public School Students Receiving Free or Reduced-Price Lunch, 2019-2020 to 2022-2023
      • Title I
        • Table Number and Percentage of Students Participating in Title I Programs, 2020-2021 School Year
        • Table Number and Percentage of Students Participating in Title I Public Schoolwide or Targeted Assistance Programs by Student Characteristics, 2020 – 2021
        • Table Number of Public Elementary and Secondary Schools, Traditional and Charter, Eligible and Participating in Title I Programs, 2021-2022 School Year
    • Homelessness
      • Table Percent of Homeless Students, by Race/Ethnicity, 2022-2023 School Year
      • Table Percent of Students Who Experienced Homelessness, by Subgroup, 2020-2021 through 2022-2023 School Years
    • Chronic Absenteeism
    • IDEA and Special Needs
      • Table Children 3 to 21 Years Old Served Under IDEA, Part B, 2018-2019 through 2022-2023
      • Table Percentage of Children 3 to 21 Years Old Served Under IDEA Part B by Selected Disability, 2018-2019 through 2022-2023
    • Graduation Rates
      • Table Number of High School Graduates, 2018-2019 Through 2022-2023
      • Table Number and Distribution of Public High School Graduates by Race and Ethnicity, 2022 – 2023
    • Early Childhood Learning
      • Table Percentage of 3- to 5-Year-Old Children Enrolled in School by Race/Ethnicity: Public vs. Private, Fall 2022
      • Table Percent of Population Enrolled in Early Childhood Education by Type of Public Program, 2022-2023 School Year
  • Alternatives to Traditional Public Schools
    • School Choice Drives Change
    • Private Schools
      • Table Private Elementary and Secondary Enrollment and Number of Schools by Level and Orientation, 2020-2021 School Year
      • Catholic Schools
    • Charter Schools
      • Table Change in Enrollment, Charter versus Traditional District Public Schools, 2019-2020 to 2023-2024
      • Table Charter School Enrollment Growth and Share by State, 2023 – 2024
      • Table Public Charter vs. Non-Charter Enrollment Growth, One-Year and Five-Year, Black, White, and Hispanic Students, 2023 – 2024
    • Homeschooling
    • Microschooling
    • Dual Enrollment
      • Table Percentage of College Students Who Are Dual-Enrolled in High School by State, 2022-2023 School Year
    • Career and Technical Education
      • Table Percentage of Public High School Graduates Earning CTE Credits by Race/Ethnicity, 2019
      • Table Percentage of Public High School Graduates Earning CTE Credits by Gender, 2019
    • Virtual Schooling
      • Table Number of Virtual Schools by Grade Level, 2018-2019 to 2022-2023
      • Connectivity in Schools
  • A Look Ahead

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