Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Peru


Attention: There is an updated edition available for this report.

We have kept our GDP growth forecast for Peru unchanged at 2.6% for 2025 but cut our projection for 2026 by 0.3ppts to 2.6%. Still, we recognise downside risks to our outlook. On the domestic front, renewed social unrest triggered by rising insecurity led to strikes in the capital city during April. On the external front, the global outlook has deteriorated due to escalating tariff threats, which could weigh on private investment prospects.


Peru: Outlook may worsen if shocks intensify
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments
Policy and politics

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