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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Ecuador

Publisher Oxford Economics
Published Dec 03, 2025
Length 7 Pages
SKU # OFE20650297

Description

We forecast GDP to significantly slow to 1.7% y/y in 2026 from 4% y/y in 2025. Private demand next year will lose momentum due to higher inflation from fuel-subsidy adjustments, leading to reduced consumer purchasing power and rising business costs.

Table of Contents

7 Pages
Ecuador: Higher inflation and base effects will drive growth next year
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Debt sustainability analysis (DSA)
Background
Economic development and structure of the economy
Policy and politics

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