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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Brazil

Publisher Oxford Economics
Published Mar 24, 2026
Length 9 Pages
SKU # OFE21077171

Description

The US/Israel-Iran conflict sparked a massive jump in international oil prices in March, forcing us to raise our year-end consumer inflation forecast by 0.4ppts to 4.2% y/y. Our commodity price forecast for the Brent oil price is at US$113 per barrel in Q2. The higher oil price will induce broad-based revisions to prices for energy, food, and services items, and we estimate the peak impact will be felt in H1 this year.

Table of Contents

9 Pages
Brazil: Middle East conflict puts pressure on near
term inflation
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short
term outlook
Key drivers of our short
term forecast
Debt sustainability analysis
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Risk warnings
What to watch out for
Global scenario analysis
Long
term prospects
Alternative long
run scenarios
Background
Economic developments
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments and structure of trade
Politics

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