
Analysis by Region - Asia Pacific
Description
We maintain our high-conviction calls for growth and inflation to undershoot consensus, while the current account surplus is likely to exceed expectations.
Table of Contents
9 Pages
- China: Consensus too rosy on growth, too low on trade surplus
- Forecast overview
- Recent developments
- Short-term outlook
- Key drivers of our short-term forecast
- Economic risk
- Economic risk evaluation
- Risk warnings
- What to watch out for
- Exposure to key global risks
- Long-term prospects
- Alternative long-run scenarios
- Background
- Economic development
- Structure of the economy
- Balance of payments and structure of trade
- Policy
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