Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Italy

We kept our 2025 and 2026 GDP growth forecasts for Italy at around 0.5%. Italian GDP grew by 0.3% in Q1, marginally higher than expected, driven by an increase in industry and construction, while services stabilized. More recent data point to some upside risks to our forecast of a flat second quarter and will likely result in some revision of GDP growth this year.


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