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Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast Update, 2018–2022: June 2018

Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast Update, 2018–2022: June 2018

This IDC study presents the five-year forecast for worldwide mobile phone shipments by device vendor. The worldwide mobile phone market will reach a total of 1,932.6 million unit shipments in 2018, down 2.26% from the 1,977.4 million units shipped in 2017. From there, total mobile phone shipments will reach 1,913.0 million units worldwide by 2022, resulting in a CAGR of -0.7% from 2017 to 2022."This year is set to bring a slightly greater decline than previously forecast due to a continued slowdown in replacement rates in many developed markets," says Anthony Scarsella, research manager for IDC's Mobile Phones team. "Although 2018 will be a down year for the total mobile phone market regarding volume, there are plenty of positive points to take into consideration. The continued success of ultra-high-end flagships in developed markets will have ASP growing a staggering 12.2% in 2018. From there, prices will continue to grow throughout the forecast period as pricier 5G phones hit the market in 2019. By 2022, the last year of our forecast, the ASP for a mobile phone will reach $314. This represents a CAGR of 5.9% for 2017–2022."

Please Note: Extended description available upon request.


IDC Market Forecast Figure
Executive Summary
Advice for Technology Suppliers
Target Feature Phones Owners in Emerging Markets
Innovate, Don't Emulate
Market Forecast
Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast, 2017–2022
Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast by Region
Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast by Device Type
Feature Phones
Smartphones
Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast by Air Interface and Air Interface Group
CDMA
GSM
UMTS/WCDMA
4G
5G
Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast by ASP
Market Context
Drivers and Inhibitors
Drivers
Economy
Larger Screen Sizes
5G Handsets
Inhibitors
Exchange Rates
Replacement Rates
Significant Market Developments
Filling the ZTE Void
Changes from Prior Forecast
Market Definition
Feature Phone
Smartphone
Methodology
Primary Data Sources
Secondary Sources
IDC's Worldwide Quarterly Mobile Phone Tracker
Related Research

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