Japan IT Spending Forecast by Vertical Segment, Company Employee Size, and Company Revenue Forecast, 2025–2029

This IDC study presents the actual IT spending (for 2023 and 2024) and forecasts (from 2025 to 2029) in the Japan IT market, categorized by industry sector, company size (number of employees), and annual revenue scale. This study also analyzes IT spending by dividing the industries into 21 categories, company size and product segments into five categories, and annual turnover into four categories; and discusses IT spending trends observed in each industry segment.Although the Trump administration in the United States announced the implementation of its tariff policy against major countries worldwide, including Japan, in April 2025, as of the end of April 2025, high tariffs have been suspended for 90 days for most countries except for a few, such as China. As negotiations between the United States and various countries are expected to take place in the future, this study assumes that the impact of this tariff policy on Japan will be relatively minor. Additionally, as a reference, the study includes a forecast for the Japan IT market that considers a scenario in which the impact of the U.S. tariff policy worsens and leads to an economic slowdown.Many Japan companies are intensifying their digitalization and digital transformation (DX) projects with the aim of improving productivity, expanding revenue, and building new business models. Additionally, large and medium-sized enterprises are taking the lead in renewing existing systems and modernizing infrastructure. In such circumstances, the economic trends both in Japan and internationally have become uncertain because of the tariff policies and exchange rate revisions in the U.S. administration. If the impact of the U.S. tariff policy worsens in the future and leads to an economic slowdown, it could have a severe impact on Japan companies.Although many companies have been advancing digitalization and digital business initiatives with high priority regardless of the economic environment, we anticipate that they will be forced to review their IT spending in light of the current economic slowdown both in Japan and internationally. In this context, Hitoshi Ichimura, senior research manager of Verticals and Cross Technologies at IDC Japan, says, "IT suppliers need to review their support structure for users' digital transformation, anticipating potential changes in IT spending trends of user companies in the future."This is the English translation of the Japanese document IDC #JPJ52157925.


IDC Market Forecast Figure

Executive Summary

Advice for Technology Suppliers

Market Forecast

Japan IT Spending by Product, 2025–2029

Japan IT Spending by Industry Sector, 2025–2029

Japan IT Spending by Employee Size, 2025–2029

Japan IT Spending by Annual Revenue Scale, 2025–2029

Japan IT Spending by Region, 2025–2029

Market Context

Drivers and Inhibitors

Drivers

Macroeconomic Trends

Advancement of Digitalization/Digital Business

Inhibitors

Deterioration of Profitability due to Unstable Exchange Rates

Delayed Recovery of Local Economies due to Population Decline and Enterprise Exodus

SMBs and Local Governments Lag Behind in Establishing Systems for Promoting Digitalization

Significant Market Developments

IT Spending Trends in the Financial Services Segment

Banking

Insurance

Securities and Investment Services

IT Spending Trends in Manufacturing and Distribution Segments

Discrete Manufacturing

Process Manufacturing

Retail and Wholesale

IT Spending Trends in the Social Infrastructure Segment

Transportation

Communication and Media

Utilities

IT Spending Trends in the Public Sector: Government, Healthcare, and Education

Healthcare

Central and Local Governments

Education

IT Spending Trends in Other Industries such as Services

IT Services

Construction

Resources

Professional and Personal Services

Consumers

IT Spending Trends by Employee Size

1–9 Employees (SOHO)

10–99 Employees (Small Companies)

100–499 Employees (Lower Midsize Companies)

500–999 Employees (Upper Midsize Companies)

More than 1,000 Employees (Large Companies)

IT Spending Trends by Region

IT Spending Trends in Hokkaido and Tohoku Regions

IT Spending Topics in the Kanto Region (Excluding Tokyo)

IT Spending Trends in Tokyo

IT Spending Trends in Hokuriku/Koshinetsu Region

IT Spending Trends in the Tokai Region

IT Spending Trends in the Kinki Region

IT Spending Trends in the Chugoku and Shikoku Regions

IT Spending Trends in the Kyushu/Okinawa Region

Changes from Prior Forecast

[Reference] Japan IT Market Estimate in Case of Serious Impact from U.S. Tariff Policy (Downside Scenario)

Market Definition

Definition of Industry Sector Classification

Methodology

Scope of Study

IT Product Categories Surveyed

Industry Classifications

Points to Keep in Mind on Company Classification Methods

Company Size Categories

Classification of Annual Turnover

Regional Classification

Calendar Year

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