European eSIM Device Market Forecast, 2025–2029

This IDC Forecast provides analysis and forecasts for eSIM shipments and installed base in both the consumer and IoT markets. It includes forecasts of devices by eSIM specification."The European eSIM market is entering a pivotal phase of rapid acceleration, propelled by surging consumer awareness from the proliferation of travel eSIMs and the transformative enablement of mass IoT deployments through the new SGP.32 standard." — John Gole, research director for IoT, Europe, IDC


IDC Market Forecast Figure

Executive Summary

Advice for Technology Suppliers

For Smartphone and Consumer Device Vendors

For Mobile Network Operators (Consumer Segment)

For IoT Connectivity Providers (MNOs and Mobile Virtual Network Operators — IoT Segment)

For Chipset and Module Manufacturers

For IoT Device Manufacturers (OEMs) and Enterprises

Market Forecast

Market Context

Overall eSIM Evolution

Connected Vehicles

Early 2010s: The Genesis of M2M eSIM (SGP.02)

Mid-2010s: First Implementations and eCall Mandates

Late 2010s to Early 2020s: Maturation and Global Scale

Current State: Continued Dominance and Evolution

Consumer Devices Market

Smartphone Availability

Usage

Other Devices

IoT Market

Limitations of Previous Standards

The Rise of SGP.32

SoftSIMs

iSIMs

Drivers and Inhibitors

Key Drivers

Key Inhibitors

Significant Market Developments

Changes from Prior Forecast

Market Definition

Methodology

Research Approach

Primary Research

Secondary Research and Data Inputs

Market Model and Forecasting

Related Research

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