Strategic Intelligence: China Tech

Strategic Intelligence: China Tech

Summary

This report tackles the issue of whether China will lead the world into the Fourth Industrial Revolution by 2030, spurred towards greater self-reliance by the imposition of increasingly stringent US tariffs and sanctions. It also assesses whether this will spawn a Beijing-centered global economic security zone dependent on Chinese technology. GlobalData concludes that China will succeed at both, with major implications for the world order. This report examines the foundational technologies that must be developed and deployed over the decade to nurture the Fourth Industrial Revolution. Oil was the control point of the last century, and data will replace it in the 21st, fueling the algorithmic engines of the future. China will have more of this fuel than any other country.

Key Highlights

  • Driven by a competitive desire to establish market dominance within the tech sphere, there is a race between industrially advanced nations to develop their domestic technology industries. The US and China are engaged in an increasingly fierce trade war, with each nation striving to assert itself as the leader in advanced technologies. The intense rivalry between the US and China has resulted in various import and export restrictions and trading embargos. Political decisions on both sides have wreaked havoc on supply chain security and market expectations.
  • The US has had a delayed response to China’s industrial growth since the turn of the century. However, it is now aggressively trying to regain its position as the dominant player in the technology sphere while also attempting to limit China’s access to key technologies and intellectual property (IP). The escalating antagonism between the nations has caused concern among economists, manufacturers, and consumers. While it is widely agreed that competition is essential for technological advancement, it is feared that both the US and China are moving faster than their domestic industries can adapt, raising concerns over impending labor and skills shortages.
Scope
  • As the great power competition increases between the US and China, the need to get ahead in the technologies of the future has never been of greater importance. Technologies such as AI, 5G, high-performance computing, robotics, and semiconductors are all industries within themselves but have the power to transform outcomes in almost every industry.
  • This report looks at how things may play out for China in 14 of the key next-generation technology markets, namely semiconductors, 5G, robotics, consumer electronics, electric vehicles and energy storage, space technology, military technology, high-performance computing, biotechnology, alternative energy, autonomous vehicles, AI, smart cities, and internet platforms.
Reasons to Buy
  • The next 30 years will likely see a radical decoupling of China and the US and the evolution of separate global economic and security zones, each with its own technology stack, technology standards, capital markets, and reserve digital currency. This report will help you understand what this means and how it will impact your business.


Executive Summary
Overview of the US-China Trade War
Players
Trends
Technology trends
Macroeconomic trends
Regulatory trends
China and the Industries of the Future
Hardware
Software
Platforms
Hardware
Semiconductors
5G
Robotics
Consumer electronics
Military technology
EVs and energy storage
High-performance computing
Space technology
Biotechnology
Alternative energy
Software
Autonomous vehicles
Artificial intelligence
Platforms
Smart cities
Internet platforms
Timeline
Mergers and Acquisitions
Companies
Public companies
Private companies
China Tech Sector Scorecard
Who’s who
Thematic screen
Valuation screen
Risk screen
Glossary
Further Reading
GlobalData reports
Our Thematic Research Methodology
About GlobalData
Contact Us
List of Tables Table 1: Technology trends Table 2: Macroeconomic trends Table 3: Regulatory trends Table 4: Mergers and Acquisitions Table 5: Public companies Table 6: Private companies Table 7: Glossary Table 8: Glossary
List of Figures
Figure 1: Who are the leading Chinese technology players that could dominate future industries?
Figure 2: SMIC leads China’s chip charge
Figure 3: Semiconductors: China’s leaders vs. global leaders
Figure 4: China will surpass two billion 5G mobile subscriptions in 2026
Figure 5: 5G: China’s leaders vs. global leaders
Figure 6: China is investing heavily in robotics
Figure 7: China leads the world in robotics patents
Figure 8: Robotics: China’s leaders vs. global leaders
Figure 9: Smartphone brands like Tecno and Xiaomi are expanding abroad
Figure 10: Consumer electronics: China’s leaders vs. global leaders
Figure 11: China claims an enormous chunk of the South China Sea
Figure 12: Despite significant investment, China’s navy still lags behind the US Navy
Figure 13: Military tech: China’s leaders vs. global leaders
Figure 14: BYD and other Chinese EV makers are expanding into Europe
Figure 15: In 2024, China accounted for 57% of the world’s battery electric vehicle sales
Figure 16: Electric vehicles and energy storage: China’s leaders vs. global leaders
Figure 17: High-performance computing: China’s leaders vs. global leaders
Figure 18: China continues to invest heavily in space
Figure 19: Despite China’s increased focus on space, the US has a much more active deal landscape
Figure 20: Space technology: China’s leaders vs. global leaders
Figure 21: China has made genomics a key area of focus but still has to catch up with the US on patents
Figure 22: e Jiankui’s gene-editing experiment was condemned
Figure 23: Biotechnology: China’s leaders vs. global leaders
Figure 24: By subsidizing companies early, China has amassed a lead in the solar sectorChina’s solar firms are helping China build geopolitical leverage in the future of energy
Figure 25: Alternative energy: China’s leaders vs. global leaders
Figure 26: China and the US are leaders in the autonomous vehicle market
Figure 27: Autonomous vehicles: China’s leaders vs. global leaders
Figure 28: China has consistently published more AI-related patents than the US
Figure 29: AI: China’s leaders vs. global leaders
Figure 30: China’s smart city tech has been criticized for advancing authoritarianism
Figure 31: Smart cities: China’s leaders vs. global leaders
Figure 32: Internet platforms have been criticized by the CCP
Figure 33: Internet platforms: China’sleaders vs. global leaders
Figure 34: The China tech story
Figure 35: Who does what in the China tech space?
Figure 36: Thematic screen
Figure 37: Valuation screen
Figure 38: Risk screen
Figure 39: Our five-step approach for generating a sector scorecard

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