Sustainable Phosphorus

Global Sustainable Phosphorus Market to Reach US$17.5 Billion by 2030

The global market for Sustainable Phosphorus estimated at US$13.6 Billion in the year 2024, is expected to reach US$17.5 Billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 4.3% over the analysis period 2024-2030. Phosphate Rock Source, one of the segments analyzed in the report, is expected to record a 5.3% CAGR and reach US$6.4 Billion by the end of the analysis period. Growth in the Recycled Phosphorus Source segment is estimated at 2.9% CAGR over the analysis period.

The U.S. Market is Estimated at US$3.7 Billion While China is Forecast to Grow at 7.9% CAGR

The Sustainable Phosphorus market in the U.S. is estimated at US$3.7 Billion in the year 2024. China, the world`s second largest economy, is forecast to reach a projected market size of US$3.6 Billion by the year 2030 trailing a CAGR of 7.9% over the analysis period 2024-2030. Among the other noteworthy geographic markets are Japan and Canada, each forecast to grow at a CAGR of 1.7% and 3.4% respectively over the analysis period. Within Europe, Germany is forecast to grow at approximately 2.5% CAGR.

Global Sustainable Phosphorus Market – Key Trends & Drivers Summarized

Why Is Sustainable Phosphorus Management Emerging as a Global Agricultural and Environmental Priority?
Phosphorus is an essential nutrient for plant growth, widely used in fertilizers to support global food production. However, it is also a finite, non-renewable resource extracted primarily from phosphate rock, with highly uneven geographic distribution. Growing concerns over the depletion of high-quality reserves, coupled with the environmental risks posed by phosphorus runoff—such as eutrophication of water bodies—are accelerating interest in sustainable phosphorus sourcing, usage, and recovery across agricultural and industrial sectors.

Inefficient application and overuse of conventional phosphorus fertilizers have led to serious ecological imbalances, particularly in freshwater ecosystems. At the same time, phosphorus loss in the form of wastewater, agricultural runoff, and food waste represents both an environmental hazard and a missed opportunity for resource recovery. As global demand for food intensifies, sustainable phosphorus management is being redefined as a strategic issue intersecting food security, resource efficiency, and ecosystem protection.

How Are Recovery Technologies and Circular Economy Models Transforming Phosphorus Supply Chains?
A shift toward circular phosphorus economy models is gaining momentum, focusing on recovering phosphorus from organic waste streams such as animal manure, sewage sludge, and food processing residues. Technologies like struvite precipitation, thermochemical recovery, and bio-based composting are enabling phosphorus reclamation from municipal wastewater treatment plants and agricultural operations—turning waste into a valuable secondary resource for fertilizer production.

These recovery systems not only reduce reliance on imported phosphate rock but also mitigate nutrient pollution, lower greenhouse gas emissions, and support regional nutrient autonomy. The adoption of closed-loop phosphorus solutions is especially important in regions with limited phosphate reserves or high environmental regulation. As recovery technologies become more efficient and scalable, they are creating new market opportunities for phosphorus recycling service providers, wastewater utilities, and sustainable fertilizer manufacturers.

Which End-Use Sectors and Regional Markets Are Driving Demand for Sustainable Phosphorus Solutions?
The agricultural sector is the primary consumer of phosphorus, making it central to sustainability transitions in fertilizer sourcing and nutrient stewardship. Demand is rising for eco-labeled, recycled phosphorus fertilizers among organic farmers and conventional growers seeking compliance with environmental standards. In parallel, municipal water utilities and food processing companies are exploring phosphorus recovery to meet circular economy targets and wastewater discharge regulations.

Europe is leading regulatory efforts through phosphorus recycling mandates and circular economy frameworks, while North America is advancing recovery infrastructure through public-private partnerships. Asia-Pacific, home to some of the world’s most phosphorus-intensive agricultural economies, is gradually increasing its focus on phosphorus efficiency due to environmental degradation and fertilizer import dependence. These regional shifts are accelerating the global conversation on phosphorus security and resilience.

How Are Policy Frameworks, Industry Collaboration, and Innovation Incentives Accelerating Market Development?
Governments and environmental agencies are increasingly introducing phosphorus sustainability frameworks to address both supply chain vulnerabilities and pollution risks. Policies promoting nutrient reuse, effluent quality standards, and sustainable farming practices are creating regulatory momentum for phosphorus recovery solutions. In Europe, the inclusion of phosphorus in the list of critical raw materials underscores its strategic importance and strengthens market signals for innovation.

Cross-sector collaboration—between agricultural stakeholders, water utilities, academic institutions, and cleantech innovators—is also proving instrumental in scaling recovery technologies and building market trust. Pilot projects, R&D grants, and innovation clusters are facilitating technology transfer and reducing adoption barriers. As sustainability becomes a procurement criterion in public and private sectors alike, phosphorus recovery solutions are gaining validation and visibility as future-proof components of nutrient management systems.

What Are the Factors Driving Growth in the Sustainable Phosphorus Market?
The sustainable phosphorus market is gaining momentum as food production, environmental stewardship, and circular economy ambitions converge. Demand for efficient, resilient, and locally sourced phosphorus is increasing, supported by technological advancements in recovery systems and policy shifts that reward resource reuse and pollution prevention. As supply chain risk, fertilizer costs, and ecological pressures mount, phosphorus sustainability is emerging as a key pillar of long-term agricultural and environmental strategy.

Looking forward, market growth will be shaped by how effectively stakeholders can scale recovery infrastructure, incentivize adoption, and integrate phosphorus circularity into mainstream agricultural and water management practices. Whether the transition to sustainable phosphorus systems can be institutionalized across value chains—from farm to treatment plant—will determine the sector’s ability to balance resource security with environmental protection in a rapidly changing global landscape.

SCOPE OF STUDY:

The report analyzes the Sustainable Phosphorus market in terms of units by the following Segments, and Geographic Regions/Countries:

Segments:
Source (Phosphate Rock, Recycled Phosphorus, Organic Phosphorus, Inorganic Phosphorus, Other Sources); Application (Fertilizers, Animal Feed, Detergents, Flame Retardants, Food Additives, Nutritional Supplements, Pharmaceuticals Ingredients, Water Treatment, Other Applications); End-Use (Agriculture, Chemicals, Food & Beverages, Pharmaceuticals, Other End-Uses)

Geographic Regions/Countries:
World; United States; Canada; Japan; China; Europe (France; Germany; Italy; United Kingdom; Spain; Russia; and Rest of Europe); Asia-Pacific (Australia; India; South Korea; and Rest of Asia-Pacific); Latin America (Argentina; Brazil; Mexico; and Rest of Latin America); Middle East (Iran; Israel; Saudi Arabia; United Arab Emirates; and Rest of Middle East); and Africa.

Select Competitors (Total 32 Featured) -

• CF Industries
• Coromandel International
• EuroChem Group
• Fertoz
• Glatt Ingenieurtechnik GmbH
• Green Technologies, LLC
• Grenzebach Group
• Groupe Roullier
• ICL Group Ltd.
• Innophos Holdings, Inc.
• Italmatch Chemicals S.p.A.
• Jordan Phosphate Mines Company
• Kemira Oyj
• Livestock Water Recycling
• Ma`aden (Saudi Arabian Mining Co.)
• Mosaic Company
• Novozymes A/S
• Nutrien Ltd.
• OCP Group
• Ostara Nutrient Recovery Technologies
• PhosAgro Group
• Prayon S.A.
• Veolia Group
• Yara International ASA

TARIFF IMPACT FACTOR

Our new release incorporates impact of tariffs on geographical markets as we predict a shift in competitiveness of companies based on HQ country, manufacturing base, exports and imports (finished goods and OEM). This intricate and multifaceted market reality will impact competitors by artificially increasing the COGS, reducing profitability, reconfiguring supply chains, amongst other micro and macro market dynamics.

We are diligently following expert opinions of leading Chief Economists (14,949), Think Tanks (62), Trade & Industry bodies (171) worldwide, as they assess impact and address new market realities for their ecosystems. Experts and economists from every major country are tracked for their opinions on tariffs and how they will impact their countries.

We expect this chaos to play out over the next 2-3 months and a new world order is established with more clarity. We are tracking these developments on a real time basis.

As we release this report, U.S. Trade Representatives are pushing their counterparts in 183 countries for an early closure to bilateral tariff negotiations. Most of the major trading partners also have initiated trade agreements with other key trading nations, outside of those in the works with the United States. We are tracking such secondary fallouts as supply chains shift.

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APRIL 2025: NEGOTIATION PHASE

Our April release addresses the impact of tariffs on the overall global market and presents market adjustments by geography. Our trajectories are based on historic data and evolving market impacting factors.

JULY 2025 FINAL TARIFF RESET

Complimentary Update: Our clients will also receive a complimentary update in July after a final reset is announced between nations. The final updated version incorporates clearly defined Tariff Impact Analyses.

Reciprocal and Bilateral Trade & Tariff Impact Analyses:

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176 OTHER COUNTRIES.

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