Impact Analysis of ADAS on the US Collision Repair Market, Forecast to 2030

Impact Analysis of ADAS on the US Collision Repair Market, Forecast to 2030

The collision repair market in the United States is at an interesting crossroad. After years of decline due to improving vehicle safety and smart legislation, crashes have been edging up after the recession. Many factors—distracted driving, growth in vehicles in operation (VIO) in a rebounding economy, and increasing congestion, among others—have been driving this reversal. While these trends have resulted in strong market growth, advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous vehicles are expected to reduce collision rates again, and this time the impact is likely to be more intense.

These factors will transform the market as the cost and the complexity of repair will rise. There will be winners and losers—the latter mainly comprising small local/regional operators that do not have a strategic vision, or deep pockets, to sustain themselves. As a result, consolidation—already on hyper-speed—will continue to accelerate. Frost & Sullivan is of the opinion that challenges and opportunities will exist alongside each other.

Vehicle trends in the United States, including operating volumes, will continue to drive market growth despite strong headwinds from safety technologies and stringent regulations. Collision rates are expected to decline, bucking the trend the country has seen this decade, but the higher cost of vehicle repair will lead to top-line growth. Margin growth, however, will be more problematic. As collision rates decline and as the addressable market shrinks, competitive forces will intensify. Consolidation will be the most obvious outcome, but national chains will have to continue investing in technologies, technicians, and government lobbying to ensure that they have a level playing field with dealers.

This research service aims to offer an in-depth analysis of the US collision repair market for Class 1 vehicles; it also attempts to understand the impact of ADAS technology on the market. The base year is 2019, and the forecast period is from 2020 to 2030. The study compiles findings concluded from various research services and papers published by Frost & Sullivan over the past two years.

Insight is also attained by looking at overall market potential by analyzing key factors that impact collision rate. In addition, Frost & Sullivan tries to understand the contribution of dealers and independent service providers to market revenue. The best practices adopted by key market participants as well as the emerging trends in the market are also discussed.


  • Executive Summary
    • Key Findings
    • 2019 Market Trends
    • Competitive Benchmarking of Key Participants-Location
      • Table Total Collision Repair Market: Competitive Landscape (Location), US, 2014-2019
    • Competitive Benchmarking of Key Participants-Revenue
      • Table Total Collision Repair Market: Competitive Landscape (Revenue), US, 2014-2019
    • Key Findings and Future Outlook
  • Research Scope, Objectives, Background, and Methodology
    • Research Scope
    • Research Aims and Objectives
    • Research Background
    • Research Methodology
    • Key Questions this Study will Answer
  • Definitions and Segmentation
    • Market Definitions
    • Vehicle Segmentation
  • Market Overview and Outlook
    • Introduction-Definition and Scope of Services
    • Collision Repair Process
    • VIO and Reported Collisions
    • Market Outlook and Revenue Forecast
      • Table Total Collision Repair Market: Market Outlook, US, 2019-2030
    • Dealers versus Independent Repair Shops-An Overview
    • Dealerships' Revenue Potential
      • Table Total Collision Repair Market: Dealerships' Revenue Potential, US, 2019-2030
    • Independent Repair Shops' Revenue Potential
      • Table Total Collision Repair Market: Independent Repair Shops' Revenue Potential, US, 2019-2030
  • Impact of Autonomous Technology on the Market
    • Capabilities of ADAS-enabled Vehicles
    • ADAS Penetration
    • Impact of ADAS on the Market
      • Table Total Collision Repair Market: Conservative Scenario-ADAS/Non-ADAS Revenue Forecast, US, 2019, 2020, 2025, and 2030
      • Table Total Collision Repair Market: Optimistic Scenario-ADAS/Non-ADAS Revenue Forecast, US, 2019, 2020, 2025, and 2030
    • Cost of Vehicle Repair
  • Drivers and Restraints-Total Collision Repair Market
    • Market Drivers
    • Drivers Explained
    • Market Restraints
    • Restraints Explained
  • Market Trends
    • Connected Cars and Telematics
    • Implementation of ADAS Features by OEMs
    • Market Consolidation
      • Table Total Collision Repair Market: Market Consolidation, US, 2016-2019
    • Market Trends-OE Certification and Specialty Tools
    • Legislation
    • 3D Printing-A Case Study
  • Company Profiles
    • Company Profile-Caliber (ABRA)
    • Historical Revenue and Store Growth-A Snapshot
      • Table Caliber (ABRA) Store Growth, US, 2014-2019
    • Company Profile-Service King
    • Historical Revenue and Store Growth-A Snapshot
      • Table Service King Store Growth, US, 2014-2019
    • Company Profile-The Boyd Group Services Inc. (Gerber Collision & Glass)
    • Historical Revenue and Store Growth-A Snapshot
      • Table Boyd Group Services Inc. (Gerber Collision & Glass) Store Growth, US, 2014-2019
    • Company Profile-CARSTAR Franchising, Inc.
    • Historical Revenue and Store Growth-A Snapshot
      • Table CARSTAR Store Growth, US, 2014-2019
    • Company Profile-MAACO FRANCHISING, INC.
    • Historical Revenue and Store Growth-A Snapshot
      • Table MAACO Store Growth, US, 2014-2019
  • Growth Opportunities and Companies to Action
    • Growth Opportunity
    • Strategic Imperatives for Success
  • Conclusion and Future Outlook
    • The Last Word-3 Big Predictions

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