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Libya Autos Report Q2 2016

Libya Autos Report Q2 2016

BMI View: The short-term outlook for the Libyan new vehicle sales market remains fairly negative. This isprimarily due to the precarious security situation within the country, which has resulted in most foreignautomakers departing the market.

Key Views

We expect 16% growth in new vehicle sales over 2016-2020, to reach over 30,000 units by 2020.

Most international carmakers have withdrawn their non-Libyan staff entirely from the Libyan market,given the ongoing operational and security challenges in the North African state.

In the short term, it does not look as though the operational environment for foreign carmakers looking tosell within Libya will improve dramatically.

If the security situation stabilises, then the local sales outlook would be encouraging for commercialvehicles, given the need for extensive reconstruction of infrastructure.

Primarily Asian carmakers (Hyundai, Mazda and Toyota) maintain a local dealership presence.


BMI Industry View
Key Views
SWOT
Industry Forecast
Production, Sales And Trade
Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Libya 2014-2020)
Latest Developments
Table: Latest Developments
Structural Trends
Sales Outlook Remains Bleak
Passenger Vehicles
Latest Developments
Table: Latest Developments
Commercial Vehicles
Latest Developments
Table: Latest Developments
Industry Risk/Reward Index
GCC Stability Offsets Sales Downgrades
Long-Term Potential Comes With Risk
Iran The Most Attractive Outlier
Company Profile
Toyota Libya
Ghabbour Auto
Regional Overview
Table: Middle East And North African Autos Production Investments
Iran Already Drawing A Crowd...
North African Hub Expanding
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Libya 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Libya 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Libya 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Libya 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Libya 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecasts
Sector-Specific Methodology
Sources
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Index Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators

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