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Future of the Polish Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape, and Forecasts to 2022

Future of the Polish Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape, and Forecasts to 2022

Summary

The Future of the Polish Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2022, published by Strategic Defence Intelligence, provides readers with detailed analysis of both historic and forecast defense industry values, factors influencing demand, the challenges faced by industry participants, analysis of industry leading companies, and key news.

This report offers detailed analysis of the Polish defense industry with market size forecasts covering the next five years. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand for the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants.
In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following -
- The Polish defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the Polish defense industry during 2018-2022, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators for the industry. It also provides a snapshot of the country’s expenditure and modernization patterns
- Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget. It also details the key challenges faced by defense market participants within the country
- Porter’s Five Force analysis of the Polish defense industry: analysis of the market characteristics by determining the bargaining power of suppliers, bargaining power of buyers, threat of substitution, intensity of rivalry, and barriers to entry
- Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the country’s imports and exports over the last five years
- Market opportunities: details of the top five defense investment opportunities over the next 10 years
- Competitive landscape and strategic insights: analysis of the competitive landscape of the Polish defense industry. It provides an overview of key players, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis

Scope

- With one of the fastest growing markets and a high-income economy, Poland aims to accelerate the modernization rate of its Armed Forces in the coming years. While most European countries have reduced their military spending between 2013 and 2017, Poland has increased its expenditure on armed forces at a CAGR of 4.66% in terms of local currency, making it one of the largest in Central Europe. However, in terms of US$, Polish defense expenditure declined marginally at a CAGR of -1.85%, which is attributed to the fall in exchange rates.
- Poland’s defense industry is the largest in Central Europe. During the forecast period, the country is expected to spend an estimated US$53.5 billion on strengthening its defense forces, primarily due to the modernization initiatives implemented by the Polish Ministry of National Defense (MoND). Furthermore, the country’s defense expenditure will be driven by a combination of factors including the ongoing turmoil in the neighboring country of Ukraine and an increased involvement in NATO and UN peacekeeping missions. Defense expenditure amounted to an average of 1.9% of overall GDP over 2013-2017, and is expected to marginally decline at 1.8% of the GDP over next five years.
- The MoD is expected to invest in Missile Defense Systems, Multi-Mission Helicopters, Submarines and Corvettes

Reasons to buy

- This report will give the user confidence to make the correct business decisions based on a detailed analysis of the Polish defense industry market trends for the coming five years
- The market opportunity section will inform the user about the various military requirements that are expected to generate revenues during the forecast period. The description includes technical specifications, recent orders, and the expected investment pattern by the country during the forecast period
- Detailed profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers with information about their products, alliances, recent contract wins, and financial analysis wherever available. This will provide the user with a total competitive landscape of the sector
- A deep qualitative analysis of the Polish defense industry covering sections including demand drivers, Porter’s Five Forces Analysis, Key Trends and Growth Stimulators, and latest industry contracts


1. Introduction
1.1. What is this Report About?
1.2. Definitions
1.3. Summary Methodology
1.4. About Strategic Defence Intelligence
2. Executive Summary
3. Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities
3.1. Current Market Scenario
3.1.1. Primary threat perception
3.1.2. Military Doctrine & Strategy
3.1.3. Military Fleet Size
3.1.4. Procurement Programs
3.1.5. Ongoing procurement programs
3.1.6. Future procurement programs
3.1.7. Social, Political and Economic Environment & Support for Defense Projects
3.1.8. Political & Strategic Alliances
3.2. Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast
3.2.1. Polish defense expenditure is expected to reach US$11.9 billion by 2022
3.2.2. Ukrainian crisis, military modernization initiatives and peacekeeping missions to fuel defense expenditure over the forecast period
3.2.3. Polish defense budget to be at 1.8% of GDP over 2018-2022
3.3. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation
3.3.1. Capital expenditure allocation expected to increase during the forecast period
3.3.2. Capital expenditure to increase at a CAGR of 6.58% over 2018-2022
3.3.3. The majority of the defense budget is allocated to military intelligence services and crisis response operations, which are anticipated to increase over the forecast period
3.3.4. Poland to invest US$5.2 billion on its land forces during the forecast period
3.3.5. Air force budget to grow at a CAGR of 11.61% during the forecast period
3.3.6. Naval expenditure expected to grow at a CAGR of 16.81% over the forecast period
3.3.7. A major portion of Poland’s defense budget to be allocated to the Other category
3.3.8. Per capita defense expenditure is expected to increase during the forecast period
3.4. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast
3.4.1. Polish homeland security market to increase at a CAGR of 1.70% over the forecast period
3.4.2. Homeland security expenditure to be triggered by the country’s efforts to counter drug smuggling, human trafficking, and cyber attacks
3.4.3. Poland faces no known threat from terrorist organizations
3.4.4. Poland faces low level of threat from foreign terrorist organizations
3.4.5. Poland has a terrorism index score of “0.0”
3.5. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets
3.5.1. Poland’s defense growth rate is expected to remain modest over the forecast period
3.5.2. Poland’s defense spending is low compared to other European nations
3.5.3. Poland allocates a moderate share of GDP for defense expenditure
3.6. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Growth Stimulators
3.6.1. Missile Defense System
3.6.2. Multi-mission Helicopter
3.6.3. Submarine
3.6.4. Corvettes
4. Defense Procurement Market Dynamics
4.1. Import Dynamics
4.1.1. Defense imports fluctuated during the period 2012-2016
4.1.2. Poland sourced the majority of its arms imports from Finland
4.1.3. Missiles and armored vehicles are the major military hardware imports
4.2. Export Market Dynamics
4.2.1. Polish defense exports expected to increase over the forecast period
4.2.2. Poland exports the majority of its defense goods to the US
4.2.3. Aircraft and armored vehicles constitute the majority of Polish defense exports
5. Industry Dynamics
5.1. Five Forces Analysis
5.1.1. Bargaining power of supplier: low
5.1.2. Bargaining power of buyer: high
5.1.3. Barrier to entry: medium
5.1.4. Intensity of rivalry: high
5.1.5. Threat of substitution: high
6. Market Entry Strategy
6.1. Market Regulation
6.1.1. Polish government introduces new Offset Act for defense equipment procurements
6.2. Market Entry Route
6.2.1. Budgeting Process
6.2.2. Procurement Policy & Process
6.2.3. Joint ventures and acquisitions of domestic companies are the preferred entry routes
6.2.4. Foreign OEMs gain industry access through joint research and development programs
6.3. Key Challenges
6.3.1. Dominance of EU defense companies impede the progress of non-European firms
6.3.2. Lack of transparency in the public procurement process proves a major challenge
7. Competitive landscape and Strategic Insights
7.1. Competitive landscape Overview
7.2. Key Foreign Companies
7.2.1. BAE Systems: overview
7.2.2. BAE Systems: main products and services
7.2.3. BAE Systems: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.4. BAE Systems: alliances
7.2.5. BAE Systems: recent contract wins
7.2.6. The Boeing Company: overview
7.2.7. The Boeing Company: main products and services
7.2.8. The Boeing Company: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.9. The Boeing Company: alliances
7.2.10. Lockheed Martin: overview
7.2.11. Lockheed Martin: main products and services
7.2.12. Lockheed Martin: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.13. Lockheed Martin: alliances
7.2.14. Lockheed Martin: recent contract wins
7.2.15. CAE: overview
7.2.16. CAE: main products and services
7.2.17. CAE: recent contract wins
7.2.18. Sikorsky, a Lockheed Martin Company: overview
7.2.19. Sikorsky Aircraft Corporation: main products and services
7.2.20. Sikorsky, a Lockheed Martin Company: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.21. Sikorsky, a Lockheed Martin Company: alliances
7.2.22. Sikorsky, a Lockheed Martin Company: recent contract wins
7.2.23. Alenia Aermacchi: overview
7.2.24. Alenia Aermacchi: main products and services
7.2.25. Alenia Aermacchi: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.26. Alenia Aermacchi: alliances
7.2.27. Alenia Aermacchi: recent contract wins
7.3. Key Public Companies
7.3.1. Polish Defense Holding: overview
7.3.2. Polish Defense Holding: main products
7.3.3. Polish Defense Holding: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.4. Polish Defense Holding: alliances
7.3.5. Polish Defense Holding: recent contract wins
7.3.6. PZL Mielec: overview
7.3.7. PZL Mielec: products
7.3.8. PZL Mielec: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.9. PZL Mielec: alliances
7.3.10. PZL Mielec: recent contract wins
7.3.11. Wojskowe Zakłady Uzbrojenia SA: overview
7.3.12. Wojskowe Zakłady Uzbrojenia SA: main products and services
7.3.13. Wojskowe Zakłady Uzbrojenia SA: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.14. Wojskowe Zakłady Uzbrojenia SA: alliances
7.3.15. Huta Stalowa Wola: overview
7.3.16. Huta Stalowa Wola: main products and services
7.3.17. Huta Stalowa Wola: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.18. Huta Stalowa Wola: alliances
7.3.19. Huta Stalowa Wola: recent contract wins
7.3.20. ROSOMAK S.A.: overview
7.3.21. ROSOMAK S.A.: main products and services
7.3.22. ROSOMAK S.A.: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.23. ROSOMAK S.A.: recent contract wins
8. Business Environment and Country Risk
8.1. Economic Performance
8.1.1. GDP Per Capita
8.1.2. GDP, Current Prices
8.1.3. Exports of goods and services, current prices
8.1.4. Imports of goods and services, current prices
8.1.5. Gross National disposable income (USD Billion)
8.1.6. Local Currency Unit per US Dollar
8.1.7. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies
8.1.8. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies a percentage of GDP
8.1.9. Government Cash Surplus/Deficit as a percentage of GDP
8.1.10. Goods exports as a percentage of GDP
8.1.11. Goods imports as a percentage of GDP
8.1.12. Goods Trade Surplus/Deficit as a percentage of GDP
8.1.13. Service Imports as a percentage of GDP
8.1.14. Service Exports as a percentage of GDP
8.1.15. Foreign direct investment, net (BoP, current US$ Bn)
8.1.16. Net foreign direct investment as % of GDP
8.1.17. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (LCU Billion)
9. Appendix
9.1. About SDI
9.2. Disclaimer
List of Tables
Table 1: Polish Land Forces Strength
Table 2: Polish Navy Strength
Table 3: Polish Air Force Strength
Table 4: Polish Ongoing Procurement Programs
Table 5: Polish Future Procurement Programs
Table 6: Polish Defense Expenditure (PLN billion & US$ billion), 2013-2022
Table 7: Polish GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP, 2013-2022
Table 8: Polish Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%),2013-2022
Table 9: Polish Defense Capital Expenditure (PLN Billion & US$ Billion), 2013-2022
Table 10: Polish Defense Expenditure Allocation (% Share), 2013-2022
Table 11: Polish Defense Expenditure for Army (PLN Billion & US$ Million), 2013-2022
Table 12: Polish Defense Expenditure for Air Force (PLN Billion & US$ Million), 2013-2022
Table 13: Polish Defense Expenditure for Navy (PLN Billion & US$ Million), 2013-2022
Table 14: Polish Defense Expenditure for Other Categories (PLN Billion & US$ Billion), 2013-2022
Table 15: Polish Per-Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2013-2022
Table 16: Polish Homeland Security Expenditure (PLN Billion & US$ Billion), 2013-2022
Table 17: Terrorism Index, 2017
Table 18: Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2013-2017 vs. 2018-2022
Table 19: Polish Budget Formation Timetable:
Table 20: Market Entry Strategies by Key Foreign Companies
Table 21: Competitive Landscape of the Polish Defense Industry
Table 22: BAE Systems, Main Products
Table 23: BAE Systems, Alliances
Table 24: BAE Systems - Recent Contract Wins
Table 25: The Boeing Company, Main Products
Table 26: The Boeing Company, Alliances
Table 27: Lockheed Martin, Main Products
Table 28: Lockheed Martin, Alliances
Table 29: Lockheed Martin, Recent Contract Wins
Table 30: CAE, Main Products and Services
Table 31: CAE, recent contract wins
Table 32: Sikorsky, a Lockheed martin Company Main Products and Services
Table 33: Sikorsky, a Lockheed Martin Company Alliances
Table 34:Sikorsky, a Lockheed Martin Company: recent contract wins
Table 35: Alenia Aermacchi, Main Products and Services
Table 36: Alenia Aermacchi, Alliances
Table 37: Alenia Aermacchi, Recent Contract Wins
Table 38: Polish Defense Holding, Major Products
Table 39: Polish Defense Holding, Alliances
Table 40: Polish Defense Holding, Recent Contract Wins
Table 41: PZL Mielec - Main Products
Table 42: PZL Mielec, Alliances
Table 43: PZL Mielec, Recent Contract Wins
Table 44: Wojskowe Zakłady Uzbrojenia SA, Main Products and Services
Table 45: Wojskowe Zakłady Uzbrojenia SA, Alliances
Table 46: Huta Stalowa Wola, Main Products and Services
Table 47: Huta Stalowa Wola, Alliances
Table 48: Huta Stalowa Wola, Recent Contract Wins
Table 49: ROSOMAK S.A.: Main Products and Services
Table 50: ROSOMAK SA., Recent Contract Wins
List of Figures
Figure 1: Polish Defense Expenditure (PLN Billion), 2013-2022
Figure 2: Polish Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2013-2022
Figure 3: Polish GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2013-2022
Figure 4:Polish Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%),2013-2022
Figure 5: Polish Defense Capital Expenditure (PLN Billion), 2013-2022
Figure 6: Polish Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2013-2022
Figure 7: Polish Defense Expenditure Allocation (% Share), 2013-2022
Figure 8: Polish Army Defense Budget (PLN Billion), 2013-2022
Figure 9: Polish Army Defense Budget (US$ Million), 2013-2022
Figure 10: Polish Air Force Defense Budget (PLN Billion), 2013-2022
Figure 11: Polish Air Force Defense Budget (US$ Million), 2013-2022
Figure 12: Polish Navy Defense Budget (PLN Billion), 2013-2022
Figure 13: Polish Navy Defense Budget (US$ Million), 2013-2022
Figure 14: Polish Other Category Defense Budget (PLN Billion), 2013-2022
Figure 15: Polish Other Category Defense Budget (US$ Billion), 2013-2022
Figure 16: Poland Per Capita Expenditure (US$), 2013-2022
Figure 17: Polish Homeland Security Budget (PLN Billion), 2013-2022
Figure 18: Polish Homeland Security Budget (US$ billion), 2013-2022
Figure 19: Terrorism Heat Map
Figure 20: Terrorism Index, 2017
Figure 21: Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2013-2017 vs. 2018-2022
Figure 22: Defense Expenditure of the World’s Largest Military Spenders (US$ Billion), 2017 and 2022
Figure 23: Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP of Largest Military Spenders (%), 2017
Figure 24: Missile Defense System Market Size (US$ Million), 2017-2027
Figure 25: Multi-role Helicopter Market Size (US$ Million), 2017-2027
Figure 26: Diesel Electric Submarine Market Size (US$ Million), 2017-2027
Figure 27: Corvettes Market Size (US$ Million), 2017-2027
Figure 28: Polish Defense Imports (US$ Million), 2012-2016
Figure 29: Polish Defense Imports by Country (%),2012-2016
Figure 30: Polish Defense Imports by Category (%), 2012-2016
Figure 31: Polish Defense Exports by Value (US$ Million), 2012-2016
Figure 32: Polish Defense Exports by Country (%), 2012-2016
Figure 33: Polish Defense Exports by Category (%), 2012-2016
Figure 34: Industry Dynamics: Porter’s Five Forces Analysis
Figure 35: Polish GDP Per Capita, 2015-2025
Figure 36: Polish GDP, Current Prices (In US$ Billions), 2015-2025
Figure 37: Polish Exports of goods and services, current prices (LCU Billion), 2005- 2014
Figure 38: Polish Imports of goods and services, current prices (LCU Billion), 2005- 2014
Figure 39: Polish Gross National Disposable Income (US$ Billion), 2005- 2012
Figure 40: Local Currency Unit per US$- Exchange Rate , 2015-2024
Figure 41: Polish Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (US$ Billion), 2005-2012
Figure 42: Polish Market Capitalization of Listed Companies as percentage of GDP, 2005-2012
Figure 43: Polish Government Cash Surplus/Deficit as a percentage of GDP, 2005-2012
Figure 44: Poland’s Goods Exports as a percentage of GDP, 2005-2013
Figure 45: Poland’s Goods Imports as a percentage of GDP, 2005-2013
Figure 46: Poland’s Goods Trade Surplus/Deficit as a percentage of GDP, 2003-2012
Figure 47: Poland’s Service Imports as a percentage of GDP, 2005-2013
Figure 48: Poland’s Service Exports as % of GDP, 2005-2013
Figure 49: Poland’s Foreign direct investment, net (BoP, current US$ Bn), 2005-2013
Figure 50: Poland’s Net foreign direct investment as % of GDP, 2005-2013
Figure 51: Poland’s Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (LCU Billion), 2005-2014

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