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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - United States

Publisher Oxford Economics
Published Oct 10, 2025
Length 10 Pages
SKU # OFE20535953

Description

We've raised our real GDP growth forecast for the US in 2026 by 0.3ppts to 2.3%. The outlook is mostly attributed to our improved expectation for consumer spending, which we now forecast will rise 2.2%, 0.4ppts stronger than we projected in September.

Table of Contents

10 Pages
US: Consumer spending will drive GDP growth in 2026
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term growth outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Risk warnings
What to watch out for
Exposure to key global risks
Long-term prospects
Alternative long-run scenarios
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Policy
Politics

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