Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Germany

We continue to forecast Germany's GDP will grow by 0.2% this year and have raised our projection for 2026 by 0.1ppt to a 1% expansion. We think some household energy tax cuts could trigger a slightly more frontloaded recovery next year.


Germany: Stagnation over the summer quarters remains our baseline
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Risk warnings
What to watch out for
Exposure to key global risks
Long-term prospects
Alternative long-run scenarios
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments and structure of trade
Policy
Politics

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