This IDC study provides our updated 2025–2029 forecast for the mobile phone market.“Mobile phones sit at the heart of many users’ electronic lives, and given their popularity, they are also the target of numerous international trade discussions and tariffs,” said Ramon T. Llamas, research director with IDC’s Mobile Phones team. “While these developments are ongoing, the potential for higher prices and lower volume can damper demand. However, IDC expects a slow recovery in years to come with volumes growing slightly each year.”
IDC Market Forecast Figure
Executive Summary
Advice for Technology Suppliers
Market Forecast
Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast, 2024–2029
Mobile Phone Forecast by Device Type
Feature Phones
Smartphones
Mobile Phone Forecast by Air Interface and Air Interface Group
GSM/CDMA
UMTS/WCDMA
4G
5G
Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast by ASP
Market Context
Drivers and Inhibitors
Drivers
5G Handsets
Screen Sizes
Inhibitors
Replacement Cycles
Inflation
Significant Market Developments
Changes from Prior Forecast
Market Definition
Feature Phone
Smartphone
Methodology
Primary Data Sources
Secondary Sources
IDC’s Worldwide Quarterly Mobile Phone Tracker
Related Research
Research Assistance
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