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UK Sector Series: Food & Grocery, 2024-2029

Publisher GlobalData
Published Oct 24, 2025
SKU # GBDT20601999

Description

UK Sector Series: Food & Grocery, 2024-2029

Summary

The UK food & grocery report offers a comprehensive insight into the food & grocery market in the UK, analysing the sector, the major players, the main trends, and consumer attitudes, as well as providing market forecasts out to 2029.

The value of the UK food & grocery sector grew over 2% in 2024, driven by outperforming mid-market players. Volumes declined marginally as consumers adjusted their spending in response to rising prices.

The online food & grocery channel will outpace the total sector growth in 2025, as investment in fulfilment capacity by grocers and consumers' familiarity with ordering groceries through rapid-delivery services drives uptake.

Health-driven food & grocery purchases are changing spending patterns and will compel grocers' to adjust ranges to stay relevant.

Scope
  • The outlook for the food & grocery sector will be softer over the next five years, with the market forecast to increase between 2024 and 2029.
  • Food inflation is expected to fall to nominal levels between 2026 to 2029, with a return to volume growth from 2026.
  • Demand for a wider range of world food options will boost food category and overall sector growth out to 2029.
Reasons to Buy
  • Using our five year forecasts to 2029, learn which categories in the food & grocery market will be the fastest performing to enable focus and investment in these winning product areas.
  • Understand how drivers of food & grocery purchases, such as range, price and quality, vary in importance among different demographics to maximise sales potential.
  • Use our in-depth analysis and forecasts to understand the current and future performances of the different channels, including online and offline.

Table of Contents

Executive summary
Sector value boosted by ecommerce expansion and inflationary uplift
Premium own‑brand and global flavours propel food value growth
Aldi’s slowed momentum eases pressure on ASDA
Consumers prioritise health when grocery shopping
KEY TRENDS
Market drivers
Market inhibitors
Key Trends: Grocers must appropriately scale retail media to minimise ad fatigue
Key Trends: Health-driven grocery shopping reshapes spending patterns
Key Trends: Grocers double down on British sourcing
Key Trends: Grocers must use targeted strategies to recover inflation-suppressed volumes
Strategies for success
MARKET SIZE AND FORECASTS
Five year growth 2019-2029
Market size, 2019-2029
Market Growth Drivers, 2022-2029
CATEGORY PERFORMANCE AND FORECASTS
Key category trends
Food & grocery categories
Market by category %, 2019-2029
Market by Sub Category, 2024 & 2029
CHANNEL PERFORMANCE AND FORECASTS
Online market, 2019-2029
Channel growth, 2019-2029
Market by channel, 2024 and 2029
Channel value and forecast, 2024 and 2029
REVENUE AND MARKET SHARES OF TOP 10 PLAYERS
Top 10 UK Retailers, 2024
Market shares of the top 10 retailers
Top 20 most visited and purchased from retailers for food & grocery, 2025
Food & grocery competitor overlap, 2025
Top 10 most purchased from retailers for food & grocery, consumer penetration, 2025
COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE: PROFILES OF LEADING PLAYERS
Tesco
Morrisons
Aldi
Marks & Spencer
Retailers to watch
Brands to watch
CONSUMERS
Key consumer trends
Food & Grocery penetration and profile, 2025
Food & Grocery category penetration, 2025
Food & Grocery channel usage, 2025
Food & Grocery fulfilment methods, 2025
Food & Grocery purchase locations, 2025
Food & Grocery store types, 2025
Food & Grocery device usage, 2025
Food & Grocery purchase frequency, 2025
Food & Grocery consumer drivers, 2025
UK loyalty scheme penetration, 2025
UK food & grocery purchase locations, by retailer, 2025
Awareness of ultra-processed foods, 2025
Consumption of ultra-processed foods, 2025
Avoiding ultra-processed foods, 2025
Statements about ultra-processed foods, 2025
How consumers describe their daily diet, 2025
Grocery subcategories consumers are cutting back on, 2025
Packaging size preferences, 2025
How consumers prioritise quality when purchasing grocery subcategories, 2025
Own brand product perception, 2025
Own brand purchases versus branded product preference, 2025
How consumers describe their alcohol consumption, 2025
Low/no alcohol drink consumption, 2025
Low/no alcohol drinks retailer selection, 2025
Statements about low/no alcohol drinks, 2025
METHODOLOGY, DEFINITIONS AND CONTACTS
List of Tables
UK Food & Grocery Market by Sub-Category, 2024 & 2029
UK Food & Grocery Channel Value & Forecast, 2024 and 2029
Top 10 UK Food & Grocery Retailers, 2024
UK Food & Grocery Competitor Overlap, 2025
UK Food & Grocery Category Penetration by Demographic, 2025
UK Food & Grocery Channel Usage by Demographic, 2025
UK Food & Grocery Fulfilment Methods by Demographic, 2025
UK Food & Grocery Purchase Locations by Demographic, 2025
UK Food & Grocery Store Types by Demographic, 2025
UK Food & Grocery Device Usage by Demographic, 2025
UK Food & Grocery Consumer Drivers by Demographic, 2025
UK Loyalty Scheme Penetration by Demographic, 2025
List of Figures
UK Food & Grocery Market Value GBP m, 2024-2029
UK Food & Grocery Categories by Value Growth %, CAGR 2024-2029
Agreement and disagreement with statements about ultra processed foods, 2025
Agreement and disagreement with statements about low/no alcohol drinks, 2025
Four month average penetration of UK consumers using weight loss medication %, 2025
Agreement with statements about locally sourced products %, 2025
UK food & grocery annual sector inflation %, 2022-2029
UK Food & Grocery Market GBP m, 2019, 2024, 2029 & CAGR %
UK Food & Grocery Market Value GBP m, 2019-2029
UK Food & Grocery Market Annual Growth %, 2019-2029
UK Food & Grocery Market Growth Drivers, 2022-2029
UK Food & Grocery Categories by Value GBP m, 2024 & 2029
UK Food & Grocery Categories by Value Growth %, CAGR 2024-2029
UK Food & Grocery Market by Category %, 2019, 2024, 2029
UK Food & Grocery Online Market Size GBPm and Online Penetration %, 2019-2029
UK Food & Grocery Channel Growth, 2019-2029
UK Food & Grocery Market by Channel, 2024 and 2029
Market Shares of Top 10 UK Food & Grocery Retailers, 2023, 2024 & 2025e
Top 20 Most Visited Retailers for Food & Grocery %, 2025
Top 20 Most Purchased from Retailers for Food & Grocery %, 2025
Tesco UK Food & Grocery Penetration %, 2025
Sainsbury's UK Food & Grocery Penetration %, 2025
Aldi UK Food & Grocery Penetration %, 2025
ASDA UK Food & Grocery Penetration %, 2025
Lidl UK Food & Grocery Penetration %, 2025
Morrisons UK Food & Grocery Penetration %, 2025
Iceland UK Food & Grocery Penetration %, 2025
Marks & Spencer UK Food & Grocery Penetration %, 2025
Co-op UK Food & Grocery Penetration %, 2025
B&M UK Food & Grocery Penetration %, 2025
Tesco UK Food & Grocery market share %, 2019-2025e
Morrisons UK Food & Grocery market share %, 2019-2025e
Aldi UK Food & Grocery market share %, 2019-2025e
Marks & Spencer UK Food & Grocery market share %, 2019-2025e
UK Food & Grocery Penetration %, 2025
UK Food & Grocery Profile %, 2025
UK Food & Grocery Category Penetration %, 2025
UK Food & Grocery Channel Usage %, 2025
UK Food & Grocery Fulfilment Methods %, 2025
UK Food & Grocery Purchase Locations %, 2025
UK Food & Grocery Store Types %, 2025
UK Food & Grocery Device Usage %, 2025
UK Food & Grocery Purchase Frequency, 2025
UK Food & Grocery Consumer Drivers %, 2025
UK Loyalty Scheme Penetration %, 2025
UK Food & Grocery Purchase Locations, by Retailer %, 2025
UK Consumer Awareness of Ultra-Processed Foods by Age %, 2025
UK Consumer Change in Consumption of Ultra-Processed Foods Over the Past Year by Age %, 2025
UK Consumers' Primary Reasons for Avoiding Ultra-Processed Foods %, 2025
How UK Consumers' Spending on Groceries Overall has Changed in the Last Year %, 2025
How UK Consumers' Spending on Groceries Overall has Changed in the Last Year by Generation %, 2025
Category Impact of Consumers Avoiding Ultra-Processed Foods %, 2025
Agreement and Disagreement With Statements about Ultra-Processed Foods, 2025
How UK Consumers Describe Their Daily Diet %, 2025
How UK Consumers Describe Their Daily Diet by Generation %, 2025
How UK Consumers Stated They Are Spending Less on Grocery Shopping Are Cutting Back by Subcategory %, 2025
Which Packaging Sizes UK Consumers Prefer by Subcategory %, 2025
How UK Consumers Prioritise Quality When Purchasing Grocery Subcategories %, 2025
How UK Consumers Describe Stores’ Own Brand Products by Subcategory %, 2025
Why UK Consumers Purchase Own Brand Products Instead of Branded %, 2025
How UK Consumers Describer Their Alcohol Consumption %, 2025
Penetration of UK Consumers That Have Tried Low/No Alcohol Drinks, by Gender and Generation %, 2025
How UK consumers’ Spend on Low/No Alcohol Drinks Compared to Last Year %, 2025
How UK consumers’ Spend on Low/No Alcohol Drinks Compared to Last Year by social grade %, 2025
Reasons UK Consumers Have Spent More on Low/No Alcohol Drinks this Year %, 2025
Top 10 Retailers Consumers Who Have Purchased Low/No Alcohol Drinks From %, 2025
Agreement and Disagreement With Statements about Low/No Alcohol Drinks, 2025

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