Mexico Construction Market Size, Trends, and Forecasts by Sector – Commercial, Industrial, Infrastructure, Energy and Utilities, Institutional and Residential Market Analysis to 2029 (Q2 2025)
Summary
Mexico's construction industry is projected to decline by 5.9% in real terms in 2025 as precarious US-Mexican relations remain unresolved, drained public-sector stimulus headwind construction prospects, and plummeting remittance’s weigh on consumer spending. Notably, GlobalData has revised 2025 forecasts marginally upward in Q2 2025 (from -7.2%) However, this is less symptomatic of a recovering construction outlook, more an overestimation of Mexico’s construction market value previously. Markedly, the Mexican Peso appreciating by approximately 7.8% (YTD) will somewhat soften the negative effect of rising building material prices, albeit not significantly enough to offset the expected lost demand from US levies. Furthermore, President Sheinbaum remains resilient in her ambition to accelerate renewable construction initiatives under her National Energy Strategy; a target to achieve 45 % renewable electricity usage by 2030. However, macroeconomic headwinds persist.
In the longer term, despite economic uncertainty and evident short-term headwinds, Mexico’s construction industry is expected to recover and register an annual average growth of 2.5% between 2026 and 2028, supported by investment in oil and gas, energy infrastructure, and infrastructure construction projects in line with the government plan to invest MXN1.2 trillion ($58 billion) for developing 5,645km of railway line across 24 states by 2030. In April 2025, the National Water Commission (CONAGUA) announced an investment of MXN7.9 billion ($396 million) over the next six years to improve potable water and sanitation systems in Acapulco. Previously, in February 2025, the Ministry of Infrastructure, Communications, and Transport announced the National Highway Infrastructure Program 2025-30. This plan will see a total investment of MXN173 billion ($8.5 billion) to redevelop 4,000km of roads by 2030.
GlobalData’s Construction in Mexico – Key Trends and Opportunities to 2029 (Q2 2025) report provides detailed market analysis, information, and insights into the Mexican construction industry, including -
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