Macroeconomic Outlook Report: Poland

Macroeconomic Outlook Report: Poland

Summary

According to GlobalData estimates, mining, manufacturing and utilities contributed 24.9% to the gross value added (GVA) in 2024, followed by financial intermediation, real estate and business activities (20.0%), wholesale, retail and hotels activities (17.4%). In nominal terms, the three sectors are expected to grow by 7.6%, 8.0% and 7.4%, respectively, in 2025.

According to GlobalData estimates, Warsaw city, Katowice, Krakow, Poznan and Gdansk accounted 38.8% of the country’s GDP and 23.5% of the population in 2024.

As of April 2025, newly announced US tariffs under President Donald Trump’s reciprocal tariff policy are expected to reduce Poland’s GDP by approximately 0.4%, equating to losses over PLN10 billion ($2.6 billion), according to Prime Minister Donald Tusk.

Scope

• Macroeconomic Country Outlook Reports evaluate a country's investment potential through its political, economic, social, technological, legal, and environmental (PESTLE) framework.
• This comprehensive analysis offers a holistic view of the economy, serving as a strategic tool to understand market dynamics, business potential, and operational direction. Each PESTLE factor is examined based on four parameters: current strengths, current challenges, future prospects, and future risks. These insights support strategic planning by highlighting opportunities and risks within the economy, helping businesses and investors make informed decisions.
• The report aims to provide a detailed understanding of the country's macroeconomic environment to facilitate effective decision-making and strategy development.

• Macroeconomic Outlook Report identifies the potentials of the country as an investment destination by analyzing the political, economic, social, technological, legal and environmental (PESTLE) structure.
• PESTLE Insights provides 360 degree view of the economy which can be used as a strategic tool to understand the market dynamics, business potentials and direction of operations
• Along with providing the country’s snapshot, the report captures the risk factors pertaining to the macroeconomic risks, political environment, legal environment, demographic and social structure effectiveness, technology & infrastructure and natural and geographic aspects that might impact business.
• This report also highlights key clusters/cities which contribute significantly to the country GDP and population along with major companies’ presence in these areas.