Latin America and Caribbean Energy Transition - Sectors and Companies Driving Development - 2025

Latin America and Caribbean Energy Transition - Sectors and Companies Driving Development - 2025

Summary

Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) is progressing toward a high share of renewable power, chiefly driven by hydropower, with growing momentum in solar, wind, and green hydrogen. While the region has relatively low fossil fuel reliance compared to other developing economies, it remains at an early stage in scaling emerging technologies such as energy storage, CCUS, EVs, and SAFs.

Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) remains at an early stage of the energy transition for emerging technologies such as energy storage, CCUS, and hydrogen. However, a substantial project pipeline is emerging for solar and wind, and the region is gaining momentum as a prospective green hydrogen export hub.

The region is on track to achieve a high share of renewable power generation, with renewables projected to supply over 75% of LAC’s electricity mix by 2025. While hydropower currently makes up the majority of this share, solar and wind capacity are expanding, helping to unlock the region’s full renewable potential.

Despite LAC’s strong performance in renewable power and relatively low reliance on fossil fuels compared to other developing economies, the adoption of other energy transition technologies, such as EVs and SAFs, remains limited.

Key Highlights

  • The LAC region is on track to achieve a high share of renewable power generation, with renewables set to account for over 75% of LAC’s power mix in 2025. This percentage is set to increase to over 80% by 2035, with Brazil, Guatemala, and Chile leading the region for highest renewable generation share.
  • The region is still heavily reliant on hydropower, but is planning on expanding its solar and wind infrastructure so as to harness the full potential of renewables.
  • The region has also announced 36 new green hydrogen projects set to come online in 2030, as LAC looks to position itself as a key hydrogen exporter.
  • Other, more nascent, energy transition technologies, such as energy storage, SAFs, and CCUS, are however lagging.
Scope
  • Latin American climate targets, CO2 emissions, renewable energy potential, leaders in renewable energy, renewable energy policies, power consumption and demand, renewable power capacity and generation, decommissioning of thermal power, energy storage capacity, electric vehicle and hybrid vehicle sales, upcoming renewable refineries, biodiesel, ethanol, RD, SAFs, CCUS outlook, upcoming CCS projects, hydrogen policies, upcoming hydrogen capacity by stage, type and end use.
Reasons to Buy
  • Assess key changes and trends that are taking place in the region, such as growing hydrogen infrastructure as LAC aims to position itself as a key global producer and exporter of green hydrogen.
  • Assess how the region is taking strides to increase its solar and wind capacity, so as to reduce its reliance on hydropower, which is becoming a more variable source of renewable power due to droughts, which have been exacerbated by climate change.
  • Identify who the key players are in a range of energy transition technologies, in terms of owners, as well as equipment manufacturers and EPC providers.
  • Identify the development stage and legislative framework the following energy transition technologies are currently in: renewables, energy storage, EVs and hybrids, renewable fuels, CCUS, and hydrogen.


Executive Summary
Sector Readiness and Leaders
Power Outlook & Generation
Renewable Energy Policies & Economics
Power Capacity Share Outlook
Power Generation Share Outlook
Largest Economies’ Renewable Generation Share
Thermal Power: Decommissioning & Emissions
Major Players in Renewable Power
Energy Storage
Energy Storage Outlook and Leading Geographies
Electric Vehicles
Passenger BEV and Hybrid Vehicles Outlook
Policies and Initiatives
Renewable Fuels
Largest Active and Upcoming Renewable Refineries
Renewable Diesel and SAF
FAME Biodiesel and Ethanol
Renewable Fuels’ Blending Targets
CCUS
CCUS Projects and Outlook
Hydrogen
National Hydrogen Strategies
Largest Active and Upcoming Hydrogen Plants
Low-Carbon Hydrogen Outlook
Intended Use Sectors for Low-Carbon Hydrogen
List of Tables
Sector grid and leaders
Key countries’ renewable energy and emission targets
Top 10 solar PV EPC providers
Top 10 solar equipment manufacturers
Top 10 wind EPC providers
Total Top 10 wind equipment manufacturers
Largest 10 active and upcoming renewable refineries in LAC
Biofuels’ blending targets
CCUS active and upcoming projects
Largest 10 active and upcoming hydrogen plants
List of Figures
LAC power capacity share, 2018-2035
LAC power capacity share, 2025
LAC power capacity share, 2035
LAC power generation share, 2018-2035
LAC renewable generation by type, 2018-2035
Largest LAC economies by renewable generation share
LAC decommissioning and upcoming thermal capacity, 2025-2030
LAC’s emissions from thermal power
Top 10 solar PV owners by active and pipeline capacity
Top 10 wind owners by active and pipeline capacity
Top 5 countries in the LAC region for energy storage active and upcoming projects
Argentina and Brazil BEV sales forecast and share of LV sales forecast, 2025-2037
Argentina and Brazil hybrid sales forecast and share of LV sales forecast, 2025-2037
RD production capacity in the LAC region, 2020-2030
SAF production capacity in the LAC region, 2020-2030
FAME biodiesel production capacity, 2020-2030
Ethanol production capacity (MERCOSUR), 2020-2030
Regional ranking for active and upcoming low-carbon hydrogen capacity, 2025YTD
LAC low-carbon hydrogen production by development stage and project count, 2025-2030
LAC target end-use sectors for low-carbon hydrogen

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