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Ukraine Defence and Security Report 2016

Ukraine Defence and Security Report 2016

BMI View: The Ukraine-Russia conflict has become somewhat frozen with skirmishes between Ukrainianforces and pro-Russian separatists flaring up every so often despite the ceasefire. Although Russia'sattention has turned inwards and to de-escalation, we do not expect Ukraine to become complacent with itsdefence. As such, we forecast a continued uptick in defence spending throughout 2016 and over the mediumterm. We see President Poroshenko continuing to reform and invest in the country's out-of-date defenceindustry as well as develop greater international ties.

However, we caution that systemic corruption and oligarchy remain fully entrenched in Ukraine's politicallandscape creating an unfavourable operating environment for foreign investors. Furthermore, ifPoroshenko wishes to remain in popular seating, he will have to divert spending to other pressing areas ofthe economy over the medium to long term, especially as the conflict with Russia is unlikely to have adecisive end for the foreseeable future.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Industry Forecast
Defence Budget
Table: Defence Expenditure (Ukraine 2012-2019)
Defence Trade
Armed Forces
Industry Risk Reward Index
Ukraine Security Risk Index
Table: Europe - Defence Security Risk Index
Market Overview
Defence Market Overview
Security Overview
Domestic Threats
Regional Threats
Weapons Of Mass Destruction
Company Profile
Motor Sich
Ukroboronprom
Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Table: Defence Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Weighting
Table: Weighting of Defence Risk Reward Index

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