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Turkmenistan Infrastructure Report Q1 2016

BMI Industry View
Latest Updates And Structural Trends
Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (Turkmenistan 2014-2020)
Table: Infrastructure Risk Reward Index (Turkmenistan 2015-2015)
SWOT
Industry Forecast
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario
Latest Updates
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Turkmenistan 2014-2024)
Structural Trends
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Industry Risk Reward Index
CEE - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index
Table: Election Timetable*, Q4 2015 - Q1 2016
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

Turkmenistan Infrastructure Report Q1 2016

BMI View: The relatively small Turkmen construction market will be driven by continued governmentspending and increasing investment in the country's key gas infrastructure, along with major inter-regionalgas and rail interconnectivity projects. However, key risks to our forecasts are falling gas demand fromChina and Russia, increasing macroeconomic pressures and an uncompetitive business and investmentenvironment.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

Construction industry growth will slow slightly in 2016 to 7.5% due to economic headwinds. However,our 10-year forecast sees average annual growth of 7.7% and a value of TMT38.4bn (USD9.0bn) in2024.

The key sectors for development will be those related to trade and the transit of goods, so we expecttransport, especially rail, along with energy, particularly gas production and transmission (pipelines), toremain the key investment areas.

Construction on the long-awaited USD10bn Turkmenistan-Afghanistan-Pakistan-India gas pipelineproject began in December 2015, with Türkmengaz the construction lead.


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