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Syria Defence and Security Report 2017

BMI View: We expect Syrian defence expenditure to register positive growth over the coming years,although overall levels will remain low on a global comparison, as dire economic conditions limit fundingavailable for procurement and operations. As the country does not maintain a significant domestic defenceindustry (and investment into the development of local military manufacturing capabilities is unlikely to beforthcoming amid the ongoing war), we expect the government to remain wholly reliant on foreign allies fordefence imports for the foreseeable future.

Recent Developments

Since the beginning of 2017, we have seen some notable positive developments towards resolution inSyria, including a reduction in overall levels of violence since forces loyal to President Assad recapturedAleppo in December 2016 - after which a nationwide ceasefire was implemented. The diplomatic processin Astana, led by Russia, Turkey and Iran also resumed, while UN-brokered talks in Geneva have alsotaken place.


BMI Industry View
Table: Headline Defence Expenditure Forecasts (2016-2021)
SWOT
Industry Forecast
Defence Expenditure
Table: Defence Expenditure (Syria 2015-2020)
Table: Defence Expenditure (Syria 2021-2025)
Defence Trade
Table: Syria - Bilateral Defence Agreements
Industry Risk Reward Index
Defence Industry Risk/Reward Index
Table: Middle East & North Africa - Defence Industry Risk/Reward Index
Rewards
Risks
Market Overview
Defence Market Overview
Domestic Defence Sector
Domestic Defence Market
Armed Forces Overview
Armed Forces
Table: Armed Forces Personnel (Syria 2008-2013)
Table: Manpower Available For Military Service (Syria 2015-2020)
Security Overview
Domestic Threats
Regional Threats
International Threats
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Table: Defence Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Weighting
Table: Weighting of Defence Risk Reward Index

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