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Sudan Defence and Security Report 2015

Sudan Defence and Security Report 2015

BMI View: Sudan is the third largest arms manufacturer in Africa, capable of producing a range ofdifferent military products - particularly in the land industry segment. That said, the local defence industrialbase remains underdeveloped, and research and development (R&D) activities are limited. As such, thecountry will continue to rely on imports for procurement of more technologically advanced equipmentover our forecast period to 2019. We expect the persistent risk of war with South Sudan, as well as thethreats posed by the conflict in Darfur and insurgency in the South Kordofan and Blue Nile states to drivegrowth in military spending over the next few years; however, sanctions placed against the governmentcontinue to prevent most foreign companies from exporting to Sudan.

In 2015, BMI forecast the Sudanese defence budget to reach USD3.1bn. This represents an increase of16.5% and constitutes 4.3% of overall GDP, reflecting the continued demand for funding of militaryoffensives against rebels in Darfur and insurgents in southern states under Operation Decisive Summer 2, aswell as the persistent threat of an escalation of conflict with South Sudan. Enabling this budget expansion isa forecast 3.5% growth in the Sudanese economy this year, on the back of easing inflationary pressures,improved exchange rate stability and falling fuel costs, as well as strong growth in agricultural and goldproduction.

BMI Industry View
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Defence Expenditure
Table: Defence Expenditure (Sudan 2012-2019)
Armed Forces
Table: Manpower Available For Military Service (Sudan 2012-2019)
Defence Imports
Table: Defence Imports (Sudan 2012-2019)
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
Table: Economic Activity (Sudan 2010-2019)
Industry Risk Reward Index
Sudan Defence Risk Reward Index
Table: Middle East And Africa - Defence Industry Risk Reward Index
Market Overview
Sudan Defence Market Overview
Domestic Defence Sector
Domestic Defence Market
International Partnerships And Defence Agreements
Table: Sudan - Bilateral Defence Agreements
Sudan Security Overview
Domestic Threats
Regional Threats
International Threats
Weapons Of Mass Destruction
Company Profile
Regional Overview
Middle East And North Africa Security Overview
Challenges And Threats To Stability And Security
Regional Power Dynamics
Nuclear Proliferation
External Powers
Global Industry Overview
Political Risk Analysis
Sector-Specific Methodology
Table: Defence Risk Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting of Defence Risk Reward Index

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