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Poland Defence and Security Report 2015

Poland Defence and Security Report 2015

BMI View: We believe that Poland's current efforts to achieve technical modernisation are likely to dependon the success of economic growth in its wider economy, however, we expect that Poland's heightened senseof vulnerability to Russia in the wake of the Crimea annexation is likely to shape Poland's restructuring ofthe armed forces and defence industry for the foreseeable future.

The biggest current security threat facing Poland comes from Russia's resurgence and its involvement in theUkrainian civil war. Russia's Crimea annexation has exposed Poland's sense of vulnerability concerning theinstability in the Ukraine and Russia's strategic ambitions. Amidst this conflict, Poland and the US arerenewing their partnership, moving bilateral cooperation to a new level, and it is likely that US militaryequipment will be prepositioned in Poland to assure a swift NATO response if another crisis erupts inCentral and Eastern Europe and threatens allies directly.

BMI Industry View
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Defence Expenditure
Table: Defence Expenditure (Poland 2012-2019)
Armed Forces
Table: Armed Forces Personnel (Poland 2005-2012)
Table: Manpower Available For Military Service (Poland 2012-2019)
Defence Trade
Table: Defence Trade Balance (Poland 2012-2019)
Table: Defence Exports (Poland 2012-2019)
Table: Defence Imports (Poland 2012-2019)
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
Real GDP By Expenditure Components
Table: GDP By Expenditure (Poland 2012-2019)
Industry Risk Reward Indices
Industry Risk Reward Index
Table: Europe Defence Risk Reward Index
Market Overview
Security Overview
Domestic Threats
Regional Threats
Defence Market Overview
Domestic Defence Sector
Domestic Market
Table: Defence Agreements
Company Profile
Polish Defence Holdings
Huta Stalowa Wola SA
WSK PZL Mielec
WSK PZL Rzeszow
Regional Overview
Europe Security Overview - Q4 2015
Global Industry Overview
Political Risk Analysis
Sector-Specific Methodology
Table: Defence Risk Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting of Defence Risk Reward Index

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