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Poland Defence and Security Report 2017

Poland Defence and Security Report 2017

BMI View:

Poland is undertaking a series of reforms in line with the recommendations of its 2016 StrategicDefence Review. This review had reiterated the perceived scale and imminence of the threat of Russia, theneed to accelerate the country's procurement process and to expand the size of the military. In light of thiswe forecast substantial increases in Polish defence expenditure over the coming years, as Warsawcontinues its armed forces modernisation programme. Military spending will likely be kept above theNATO-stipulated 2.0% of GDP with a target of increasing spending significantly by 2030. NATO hasdeployed a US-led battlegroup to Poland and Poland secured an agreement to host the US Patriot antiballisticmissile system. While Poland will remain dependent on imports to meet many of its armed forces'requirements for the foreseeable future, we expect the country's overall defence trade deficit to graduallynarrow, as local military manufacturing capabilities strengthen. Poland's Ministry of Defence is acquiringgreater powers to speed up procurements, make greater initial contract payments and to determinespending on individual projects.


BMI Industry View
Table: Headline Defence Expenditure (Poland 2016-2020)
SWOT
Defence Industry SWOT
Industry Forecast
Defence Expenditure
Table: Defence Expenditure (Poland 2014-2019)
Table: Defence Expenditure (Poland 2020-2026)
Defence Trade
Exports
Imports
Table: Poland - Bilateral Defence Agreements
Industry Risk Reward Indices
Defence Industry Risk Reward Index
Table: Europe - Defence Industry Risk/Reward Index
Rewards
Risks
Market Overview
Defence Market Overview
Domestic Defence Sector
Domestic Defence Market
Armed Forces Overview
Armed Forces
Table: Armed Forces Personnel (Poland 2008-2016)
Table: Manpower Available For Military Service (Poland 2016-2025)
Table: Polish Armed Forces - Overseas Deployments
Security Overview
Domestic Threats
Regional Threats
International Threats
Company Profile
Polish Defence Holdings
Huta Stalowa Wola SA
WSK PZL Mielec
WSK PZL Rzeszow
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Table: Defence Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Weighting
Table: Weighting of Defence Risk Reward Index

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