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Libya Defence and Security Report 2015

Libya Defence and Security Report 2015

BMI View: We forecast Libyan defence expenditure to expand over the next five years; although growth isstarting from a low base, and as such, the overall size of the defence budget remains small on a globalcomparison. While continued political instability and rising Islamist militancy will create demand formilitary equipment across the ground, air and naval segments, major purchases will be delayed over themedium term due to severe financial constraints, the ongoing restructuring of the Libyan armed forces andthe reluctance of the international community to allow arms deliveries into Libya's highly fragile securityenvironment.

Due to historical over-reliance on defence imports, political instability and a deteriorating economy sincethe civil war, Libya has been unable to establish a significant defence industrial base. The Libyanauthorities therefore remain wholly reliant on foreign products to meet military demands. However, importsare currently restricted by a UN arms embargo, as well as a lack of available funds for new procurement.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Political
Economic
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Defence Expenditure
Table: Defence Expenditure (Libya 2012-2019)
Armed Forces
Table: Armed Forces Personnel (Libya 2005-2012)
Table: Manpower Available For Military Service (Libya 2012-2019)
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
Table: Economic Activity (Libya 2010-2019)
Industry Risk Reward Index
Libya Defence Risk Reward Index
Table: Middle East And Africa - Defence Industry Risk Reward Index
Rewards
Risks
Market Overview
Libya Security Overview
Domestic Threats
Regional Threats
International Threats
Weapons Of Mass Destruction
Libya Defence Market Overview
Domestic Defence Sector
Domestic Defence Market
Table: Libya - Bilateral Defence Agreements
Regional Overview
Middle East And North Africa Security Overview
Challenges And Threats To Stability And Security
Regional Power Dynamics
Nuclear Proliferation
External Powers
Global Industry Overview
Political Risk Analysis
Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Table: Defence Risk Reward Index Indicators
Weighting
Table: Weighting of Defence Risk Reward Index

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