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Japan Defence and Security Report 2015

Japan Defence and Security Report 2015

BMI View: We expect that, despite a slight decrease in 2015, Japan's defence budget will continueincreasing in absolute terms over the next five years but to remain accounting for a mere 1% of GDP. Thiswill be driven by landmark constitutional changes which took place in 2014, especially on Article 9 of thecountry's constitution. This development has opened up Japanese defence firms to international markets asthey are now able to export defence systems and cooperate on joint ventures with foreign partners. Inaddition, these constitutional changes have edged Japan towards military normalisation, paving the way fora more active role in regional security.

Japan's geopolitical situation in the Asia Pacific region presents two main characteristics. Firstly, tensionswith China have been rising in the past few years especially in regards to conflicting claims over theSenkaku/Diaoyu islands in the East China Sea. This is coming at a time when the threat from North Koreais also slowly increasing, raising significant concerns in Japan and amongst other countries in the region.

Within this tense regional context, Japan's 2015 Defence White Paper has put significant emphasis on theimportance of increasing and upgrading the capabilities and equipment of its Self-Defence Forces (SDF) inorder to be able to meet these and other new security concerns. Within this framework, Shinzo Abe'sgovernment has also been pushing for new bills that go against the country's Peace Constitution, trying toexpand the role of the SDF to overseas military interventions for the purpose of peacekeeping.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Japan Defence & Security SWOT
Political
Economic
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Defence Expenditure
Table: Defence Expenditure (Japan 2012-2019)
Armed Forces
Table: Armed Forces Personnel (Japan 2005-2012)
Table: Manpower Available For Military Service (Japan 2012-2019)
Defence Trade
Table: Defence Trade Balance (Japan 2012-2019)
Table: Defence Imports (Japan 2012-2019)
Table: Defence Exports (Japan 2012-2019)
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Table: Economic Activity (Japan 2010-2019)
Industry Risk Reward Indices
Japan Security Risk Index
Japan Defence Risk Index
Table: Asia Pacific Defence Risk Index
Rewards
Risks
Market Overview
Japan Defence Market Overview
Defence Market Overview
Domestic Defence Sector
Domestic Market
Table: Japan Defence Agreements
Japan Security Overview
Domestic Threats
Regional Threats
International Threats
Weapons of Mass Destruction
Company Profile
Fuji Heavy Industries (FHI)
Ishikawajima-Harima Heavy Industries (IHI)
Kawasaki Heavy Industries (KHI)
Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (MHI)
Regional Overview
North East Asia Security Overview
The Geopolitical Importance Of North East Asia
Flashpoints And Fault Lines In North East Asia
The Evolution Of North East Asia
Global Industry Overview
Political Risk Analysis
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Japan 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Japan 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Japan 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Japan 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Japan 1990-2025)
Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Table: Defence Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Weighting
Table: Weighting of Defence Risk Reward Index

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