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Egypt Defence and Security Report 2016

Egypt Defence and Security Report 2016

BMI View: Heightened domestic security issues - namely those associated with Islamic State, the MuslimBrotherhood, civil unrest as well as continuing regional tensions - will be the major concern for Egypt over2016, and this will in turn see to a strong rise in defence expenditure over the year. The majority of Egypt'scurrent spending will however, continue to be focused on anti-terrorism capabilities and the procurement ofadvanced weaponry from overseas suppliers as opposed to the development of a domestic defencemanufacturing sector. As al-Sisi's military regime attempts to ensure its grip on power, we expect defencespending to maintain its upward trajectory albeit to a lesser extent as the years go on, owing to broaderfiscal constraints given the country's weak economic outlook. Furthermore, high personnel costs - given thelarge armed force's size - and endemic corruption will also continue to draw funding away frommodernisation efforts.

Latest Updates

In March 2016, Egypt's parliament agreed to USD3.7bn in French loans to finance armamentprocurements from France. The money will reportedly go toward a variety of equipment andhardware across the Navy, Army, and Air Force.

In February 2016 Egypt received three new Rafale fighter jets from France. According to Egypt's AlAhram weekly, Egypt already received three Rafale fighter jets in July; the remaining 18 will bedelivered in batches within the next two years.

Demonstrations amongst the Egyptian youth continue in the Nile Delta, which we suspect has thepotential to be the Achilles heel of the al-Sisi's regime. The collective punishment of entire communitiesin the Sinai also places the army at risk of losing the battle of hearts and minds against extremism.


BMI Industry View
Table: Headline Defence Expenditure (Egypt 2015-2020)
SWOT Analysis
Defence Industry SWOT
Industry Forecast
Defence Expenditure
Table: Defence Expenditure (Egypt 2014-2019)
Table: Defence Expenditure (Egypt 2020-2025)
Defence Trade
Industry Risk Reward Index
Defence Industry Risk Reward Index
Table: Middle East and North Africa - Security Risk Index
Rewards
Risks
Market Overview
Defence Market Overview
Domestic Defence Sector
Domestic Defence Market
Armed Forces Overview
Armed Forces
Table: Armed Forces Personnel (Egypt 2009-2013)
Security Overview
Domestic Threats
Regional Threats
International Threats
Company Profile
General Dynamics
General Electric
Raytheon (Egypt)
Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Table: Defence Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Weighting
Table: Weighting of Defence Risk Reward Index

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