Biorefinery Market Report 2026-2036

The Biorefinery Market Report 2026-2036 (Including Impact of U.S. Trade Tariffs): This report will prove invaluable to leading firms striving for new revenue pockets if they wish to better understand the industry and its underlying dynamics. It will be useful for companies that would like to expand into different industries or to expand their existing operations in a new region.

Net-Zero Pledges in Hard-to-Abate Transport Are Turning SAF and Renewable Diesel Biorefineries into Critical Climate Infrastructure

A fundamental driver of the biorefinery market is that governments and corporates now view sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) and renewable diesel as 'must-have' solutions for decarbonising aviation, heavy road transport and shipping, sectors where electrification is slow or technically difficult. More than 80 countries already have policies supporting liquid biofuels, and the IEA expects biofuel demand to rise by around 11% in the very near term, driven by these climate and energy-security goals. Airlines, in particular, are locked into net-zero commitments and increasingly rely on SAF mandates and offtake deals, which directly pull demand for biorefinery capacity. Neste, for example, is expanding its Rotterdam renewable fuels refinery so that by 2027 it can produce 2.7 million tonnes of renewable products annually, including 1.2 million tonnes of SAF, while parallel investments in Singapore and Porvoo give it a projected 2.2 million tonne annual SAF capability. TotalEnergies has similarly converted its La Mède refinery into a 500,000 t/y HVO biorefinery and is investing so it can process 100% waste oils and fats into biofuels and SAF, explicitly positioning the asset as a climate-aligned facility for future aviation and heavy-duty demand. As these sectors face mounting regulatory and investor pressure to decarbonise, SAF and renewable diesel biorefineries become indispensable pieces of climate infrastructure rather than optional 'green projects,' which strongly underpins long-term demand and pricing power for advanced biorefinery products.

Feedstock Constraints, Land-Use Change and Sustainability Scrutiny Are Tightening the Social Licence for Biorefineries

Even as demand grows, the sector faces mounting scrutiny around the sustainability of feedstocks, indirect land-use change (ILUC) and competition with food and nature, which is increasingly translating into policy risk and market access barriers. NGOs and some policymakers argue that crop-based biofuels deliver limited net climate benefit and can drive deforestation, biodiversity loss and food price volatility; a recent campaign by Transport & Environment, for instance, urged the European Commission to reject automakers'calls to allow post-2035 combustion cars to run on 'carbon-neutral' biofuels, arguing that sustainable waste-based feedstocks are scarce and should be prioritised for aviation and shipping rather than cars. South Korea has moved to cut biomass subsidies after criticism that large-scale imports of wood pellets were linked to deforestation in Indonesia and elsewhere, signalling a broader reassessment of solid biomass sustainability. Brazil's leaked proposal ahead of COP30 to quadruple 'sustainable fuels' by 2034 has also triggered debate over whether ramping biofuel production at that scale can be reconciled with forest protection and food security. As certification schemes tighten and NGOs campaign against perceived greenwashing, biorefinery developers must invest more in robust traceability, certification and truly waste- or residue-based feedstock chains, which adds complexity and cost and can slow project development where sustainable biomass supply is uncertain.

What would be the Impact of US Trade Tariffs on the Global Biorefinery Market?

U.S. tariffs on biofuels, bio-based chemicals, feedstocks, and related equipment have the potential to significantly influence the global biorefinery market, affecting trade flows, project economics, and investment decisions. As the United States plays a critical role in bioethanol, renewable diesel, sustainable aviation fuel, and biorefinery technology markets, changes in tariff structures can alter cost competitiveness for both domestic and international producers. Higher tariffs may raise the cost of imported feedstocks, catalysts, enzymes, and process equipment, while retaliatory measures can restrict export opportunities for U.S.-produced biofuels and biochemicals. The overall market impact depends on the duration of tariffs, policy responses, and the ability of companies to adapt supply chains.

What Questions Should You Ask before Buying a Market Research Report?

• How is the biorefinery market evolving?
• What is driving and restraining the biorefinery market?
• How will each biorefinery submarket segment grow over the forecast period and how much revenue will these submarkets account for in 2036?
• How will the market shares for each biorefinery submarket develop from 2026 to 2036?
• What will be the main driver for the overall market from 2026 to 2036?
• Will leading biorefinery markets broadly follow the macroeconomic dynamics, or will individual national markets outperform others?
• How will the market shares of the national markets change by 2036 and which geographical region will lead the market in 2036?
• Who are the leading players and what are their prospects over the forecast period?
• What are the biorefinery projects for these leading companies?
• How will the industry evolve during the period between 2026 and 2036? What are the implications of biorefinery projects taking place now and over the next 10 years?
• Is there a greater need for product commercialisation to further scale the biorefinery market?
• Where is the biorefinery market heading and how can you ensure you are at the forefront of the market?
• What are the best investment options for new product and service lines?
• What are the key prospects for moving companies into a new growth path and C-suite?

You need to discover how this will impact the biorefinery market today, and over the next 10 years:

• Our 423-page report provides 125 tables and 215 charts/graphs exclusively to you.
• The report highlights key lucrative areas in the industry so you can target them - NOW.
• It contains in-depth analysis of global, regional and national sales and growth.
• It highlights for you the key successful trends, changes and revenue projections made by your competitors.

Forecasts to 2036 and other analyses reveal commercial prospects

• In addition to revenue forecasting to 2036, our new study provides you with recent results, growth rates, and market shares.
• You will find original analyses, with business outlooks and developments.
• Discover qualitative analyses (including market dynamics, drivers, opportunities, restraints and challenges), cost structure, impact of rising biorefinery prices and recent developments.

Segments Covered in the Report

By Type

• First-Generation
• Second & Third-Generation

By Product Type

• Biofuels
• Biochemicals
• Biomaterials

By Conversion Process

• Biochemical Conversion
• Thermochemical Conversion
• Chemical Conversion
• Mechanical / Physical Processes

By End-Use Sector

• Transportation Fuels
• Power Generation
• Industrial & Chemical
• Residential & Commercial Heating
• Other End-use Sectors

By Feedstock

• Energy Crops
• Agricultural Residues
• Forestry Residues
• Industrial Waste & By-products
• Organic Municipal Solid Waste (MSW)
• Algae (Microalgae, Macroalgae)

In addition to the revenue predictions for the overall world market and segments, you will also find revenue forecasts for five regional and 25 leading national markets:

North America

• U.S.
• Canada

Europe

• Germany
• UK
• France
• Italy
• Spain
• Rest of Europe

Asia Pacific

• Japan
• China
• India
• Indonesia
• South Korea
• Rest of Asia Pacific

Latin America

• Brazil
• Mexico
• Rest of Latin America

MEA

• GCC
• South Africa
• Rest of MEA

The report also includes profiles and for some of the leading companies in the Biorefinery Market, 2026 to 2036, with a focus on this segment of these companies'operations.

Leading companies profiled in the report

• Air Liquide S.A.
• Archer Daniels Midland Company
• BP Plc
• Braskem S.A.
• China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (SINOPEC)
• Cycle0
• EcoCeres
• Gevo, Inc.
• Green Plains Inc.
• Marathon Petroleum Corporation
• Neste Oyj
• Petr√≥leo Brasileiro S.A.
• Ra√≠zen S.A.
• Total Energies SE
• Valero Energy Corporation.

Overall world revenue for Biorefinery Market, 2026 to 2036 in terms of value the market will surpass US$288.10 billion in 2026, our work calculates. We predict strong revenue growth through to 2036. Our work identifies which organizations hold the greatest potential. Discover their capabilities, progress, and commercial prospects, helping you stay ahead.

How will the Biorefinery Market, 2026 to 2036 report help you?

In summary, our 420+ page report provides you with the following knowledge:

• Revenue forecasts to 2036 for Biorefinery Market, 2026 to 2036, with forecasts for type, product type, conversion process, end-user sector, and feedstock, each forecast at a global and regional level - discover the industry's prospects, finding the most lucrative places for investments and revenues.
• Revenue forecasts to 2036 for five regional and 25 key national markets - See forecasts for the Biorefinery Market, 2026 to 2036 in North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, Latin America, and MEA. Also forecasted is the market in the US, Canada, Mexico, Brazil, Germany, France, UK, Italy, China, India, Japan, and Australia among other prominent economies.
• Prospects for established firms and those seeking to enter the market - including company profiles for 15 of the major companies involved in the Biorefinery Market, 2026 to 2036.

Find quantitative and qualitative analyses with independent predictions. Receive information that only our report contains, staying informed with invaluable business intelligence.

Please Note: Prior to initiating fulfillment of an order, the client will be required to sign a document detailing the purchase terms for a publication from this publisher.

The publisher is using a password system to access all reports. Single user (non-printable) and departmental licenses expires after 12 month period. In the case of departmental site license purchases, the publisher requires all email addresses for the licensed users prior to fulfillment. Show more