2024 National Instructional Materials Adoption Scorecard and Outlook to 2028
Description
State-level instructional materials adoption activity is expected to remain steady through2028, shaped by new literacy and numeracy mandates, updated state standards, andexpanded evaluation requirements. While the 2022–2023 adoption cycle reflecteduneven activity, increased legislative involvement and continued concern over studentproficiency are reshaping decision-making across major adoption states.
This report analyzes state-level adoption cycles, subject-area reviews, legislativedevelopments, evaluation processes, and marketplace performance across keyadoption states. It also outlines expected adoption activity and subject-areaopportunities through 2028.
Adoption activity is presented for major subject areas, including:
This report provides a detailed analysis of state-level instructional materials adoptions inthe United States, focusing on the policies, legislative developments, evaluationsystems, and subject-area reviews that shaped the 2022–2023 adoption year. Itexamines how updated standards, new instructional frameworks, and state mandatesinfluenced adoption outcomes, with specific attention to statewide and district-levelreview structures.
Coverage includes adoption activity and outcomes in major states highlighted in theanalysis, including Florida, Texas, North Carolina, Alabama, and Louisiana, as well asemerging subject-area priorities such as reading/ELA, mathematics, science, socialstudies and civics, career and technical education, and financial literacy. The report alsopresents Simba’s outlook for adoption activity through 2028, identifying anticipated statereviews, policy-driven shifts, and upcoming opportunities likely to shape publisherengagement.
In addition, the report reviews publisher participation and marketplace outcomes acrosskey states, assessing how evolving state priorities and legislative requirements continueto influence instructional materials development, submissions, and competitivepositioning within adoption states.
This report analyzes state-level adoption cycles, subject-area reviews, legislativedevelopments, evaluation processes, and marketplace performance across keyadoption states. It also outlines expected adoption activity and subject-areaopportunities through 2028.
Adoption activity is presented for major subject areas, including:
- Reading/ELA
- Mathematics
- Science
- Social Studies & Civics
- Career & Technical Education
- Financial Literacy & Economics
- Statewide adoption states
- Open-territory markets
- District-level review processes
- South & Southeast (major adoption concentration)
- Southwest & West
- Midwest
- Northeast
This report provides a detailed analysis of state-level instructional materials adoptions inthe United States, focusing on the policies, legislative developments, evaluationsystems, and subject-area reviews that shaped the 2022–2023 adoption year. Itexamines how updated standards, new instructional frameworks, and state mandatesinfluenced adoption outcomes, with specific attention to statewide and district-levelreview structures.
Coverage includes adoption activity and outcomes in major states highlighted in theanalysis, including Florida, Texas, North Carolina, Alabama, and Louisiana, as well asemerging subject-area priorities such as reading/ELA, mathematics, science, socialstudies and civics, career and technical education, and financial literacy. The report alsopresents Simba’s outlook for adoption activity through 2028, identifying anticipated statereviews, policy-driven shifts, and upcoming opportunities likely to shape publisherengagement.
In addition, the report reviews publisher participation and marketplace outcomes acrosskey states, assessing how evolving state priorities and legislative requirements continueto influence instructional materials development, submissions, and competitivepositioning within adoption states.
Table of Contents
110 Pages
- METHODOLOGY
- SOURCES
- EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
- KEY FINDINGS
- CHAPTER 1: MARKET ENVIRONMENT
- BACKGROUND
- ADOPTION STATE SCALE
- Figure 1-1. Total Public Elementary and Secondary Students in Leading Textbook Adoption Markets, Fall 2022
- ADOPTION STATE DYNAMICS
- Top-Down Control Versus Local Autonomy
- Evolving Academic Standards
- Evaluation Processes
- MARKET DRIVERS
- The Nation’s Report Card
- Reading Performance Continues Decline
- Table 1-1. NAEP Scores: Reading, Grades 4 and 8, 1992 – 2024
- Mixed Results in Mathematics
- Table 1-2. NAEP Scores: Mathematics, Grades 4 and 8, 1992 – 2024
- Downturn in Science Scores
- Table 1-3. NAEP Scores: Science, Grade 8, 2009 – 2024
- Figure 1-2. NAEP Scores, United States History, Grade 8, 1994 – 2022
- State NAEP Scores
- Reading Performance
- Mathematics Proficiency
- Table 1-4. Percent of Fourth-Grade Students Performing At or Above NAEP-Proficient Level, Reading and Math: Adoption States, 2022 and 2024 Results
- Population Impacts
- Figure 1-3. Annual Estimates of Resident Population of the United States: Change in Number of State Residents for Selected Adoption States, 2023 – 2024
- POLICY AND LEGISLATION TRENDS
- Literacy Policies and Legislation
- Parents’ Rights
- 2024 National Instructional Materials Adoption Scorecard and Outlook to 2028
- ii December 2025 © Simba Information
- Separation of Church and State
- Ten Commandments Posters
- Religious Charter Schools
- School Choice Programs Expand
- ADOPTION STATES: EDUCATION POLICY AND LEGISLATION
- Alabama
- California
- Florida
- Idaho
- Indiana
- Kentucky
- Louisiana
- Mississippi
- Nevada
- New Mexico
- North Carolina
- Oklahoma
- Oregon
- Rhode Island
- South Carolina
- Tennessee
- Texas
- Utah
- Virginia
- West Virginia
- CHAPTER 2: 2024-2025 ADOPTION YEAR RESULTS
- FLORIDA ADOPTS ELA AND READING INTERVENTION
- Comprehensive Literacy Support
- New Path for ELA
- K-5 ELA and Reading
- Table 2-1. Florida K-5 English Language Arts: Adoption List
- Middle School ELA
- Table 2-2. Florida Middle School English Language Arts: Adoption List
- Florida High School ELA
- Publisher Performance
- EARLY LITERACY ADOPTION IN TEXAS
- Literacy
- Student Demographics
- Foundational Language Skills
- 2024 National Instructional Materials Adoption Scorecard and Outlook to 2028
- December 2025 © Simba Information iii
- Publisher Performance
- Table 2-3. Texas K-5 English Language Arts and Reading; Phonics: Adoption List
- TEXAS ADDS MATHEMATICS CURRICULA
- STAAR Results
- Publishers in Texas Math Bid
- Table 2-4. Texas Mathematics: Adoption List
- SOUTH CAROLINA PIVOTS TO MATH
- Economic Growth
- Math Proficiency Metrics
- The Palmetto Math Project
- New Instructional Materials
- Table 2-5. South Carolina K-12 Mathematics: Adoption List
- SPOTLIGHT ON SCIENCE IN ALABAMA
- Record Education Budget
- The Southern Surge
- New Science Standards
- Review of Science Materials
- Table 2-6. Alabama K-12 Science: Adoption List
- ADOPTION SCORECARD 2024
- ELA in Florida and Texas
- Figure 2-1. Florida and Texas ELA Adoptions: Number of Titles Adopted by Publisher
- Mathematics in South Carolina and Texas
- Figure 2-2. South Carolina and Texas Mathematics Adoptions: Number of Titles Adopted by Publisher
- Alabama Science Adoption
- Figure 2-3. Alabama K-12 Science Adoption: Number of Titles Adopted by Publisher
- Publisher Performance: Overall
- Figure 2-4. Aggregate Performance Across Five State Adoptions: Leading Publishers Based on Number of Titles Adopted
- MARKET INSIGHTS
- CHAPTER 3: THE 2025-2026 ADOPTION YEAR AND BEYOND
- INTRODUCTION
- CALIFORNIA MATH ADOPTION
- The New Math Framework
- Math Proficiency
- An Adoption Gold Rush
- Implementation
- Table 3-1. California K-8 Mathematics: Adoption List
- FLORIDA K-12 MATHEMATICS
- Figure 3-1. Florida B.E.S.T Standards for Mathematics: Progression of Mathematics Instruction by Grade Level
- 2024 National Instructional Materials Adoption Scorecard and Outlook to 2028
- iv December 2025 © Simba Information
- Math Proficiency
- Florida Math Bids
- Table 3-2. Florida K-12 Mathematics Adoption: Short Bid Report
- INDIANA ELA
- Literacy Vision
- Literacy Metrics
- Curriculum Review
- Table 3-3. Indiana K-8 Core Reading Advisory List
- CONCLUSIONS
- ADOPTION OUTLOOK
- 2025-2026
- 2026-2027
- 2027-2028
- 2028-2029
- Table 3-4. Instructional Materials Adoption Outlook, 2025 – 2028
- APPENDIX
- Table A-1. Florida High School English Language Arts and Reading: 2024-2025 Adoption List
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