Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets

Best Price Guarantee	Length	Publisher	Published Date	SKU
from $185	6 Pages	Oxford Economics	April, 2025	OFE20029118

Best Price Guarantee
Price	from $185
Length	6 Pages
Publisher	Oxford Economics
Published Date	April, 2025
SKU	OFE20029118

We've cut our GDP growth forecasts for Ukraine by 0.7ppts to 2.6% y/y for 2025 and by 1.5ppts to 3.5% y/y for 2026. The revisions mainly reflect the expected direct and indirect effects of US President Donald Trump's hostile trade policy. GDP growth of 2.9% y/y in 2024 also disappointed as it was lower than earlier official estimates of 3.4%-3.6%.

Ukraine: The economy is slowing and ceasefire appears unlikely

Forecast overview

Recent developments

Short-term outlook

Key drivers of our short-term forecast

Economic risk

Economic risk evaluation

Background

Economic development

Structure of the economy

Balance of payments

Policy and politics

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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Ukraine

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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Ukraine