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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Sri Lanka

Publisher Oxford Economics
Published Dec 24, 2025
Length 7 Pages
SKU # OFE20686062

Description

We've increased our estimate of 2025 GDP growth by 0.4ppts to 4.2% y/y to reflect stronger-than-expected Q3 GDP and the impact of the Cyclone Ditwah, which struck the country in late November. Prior to the cyclone, the Sri Lankan economy stayed on a firm footing in Q3 by expanding 5.4% y/y, the fastest rate of growth this year. The industry sector was the primary driver of activity, contributing 2.3ppts to total growth.

Table of Contents

7 Pages
Sri Lanka: Cyclone Ditwah will limit near-term growth momentum
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments
Policy and politics

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