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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Sri Lanka

Publisher Oxford Economics
Published Sep 30, 2025
Length 6 Pages
SKU # OFE20535967

Description

We've raised our 2025 GDP growth forecast for Sri Lanka by 0.3ppts to 3.8% y/y. This reflects better-than-expected Q2 GDP growth of 4.9% y/y. However, headwinds will remain challenging in the following quarters. We've also lowered our 2025 CPI inflation forecast by 0.8ppts to 0.3% y/y due to weaker-than-expected inflation momentum.

Table of Contents

6 Pages
Sri Lanka: Strong Q2 GDP boosts full-year growth estimate
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments
Policy and politics

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