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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Romania

Publisher Oxford Economics
Published Aug 27, 2025
Length 8 Pages
SKU # OFE20418456

Description

We've cut our 2025 GDP growth forecast for Romania by 0.3ppts to 0.7%, and have lowered our 2026 forecast by 0.4ppts to 1.9%. The downgrade to 2025 partly reflects the impact of historical revisions. Meanwhile, our outlook for much stronger inflation in H2 2025 and H1 2026 suggests activity growth over the next couple of years is likely to be softer than previously anticipated.

Table of Contents

8 Pages
Romania: Higher inflation to weigh on growth prospects
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Risk warnings.
What to watch out for
Exposure to key global risks
Long-term prospects
Alternative long-run scenarios
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments and structure of trade
Policy
Politics

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