Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets

Best Price Guarantee	Length	Publisher	Published Date	SKU
from $185	8 Pages	Oxford Economics	April, 2025	OFE20029124

Best Price Guarantee
Price	from $185
Length	8 Pages
Publisher	Oxford Economics
Published Date	April, 2025
SKU	OFE20029124

We've cut our GDP growth forecast for Poland by 0.1ppt to 3.4% this year and by 0.2ppts to 3% for 2026. The downward revision stems from the heightened uncertainty that the fast-changing US trade policy has triggered. Moreover, following a solid January, subsequent Q1 data indicated that sequential growth had eased relative to Q4 2024. Faster monetary policy easing, and German fiscal stimulus should offer support in 2026 and beyond, though.

Poland: Tariffs and uncertainty weigh on near-term prospects

Forecast overview

Recent developments

Short-term growth outlook

Key drivers of our short-term forecast

Economic risk

Economic risk evaluation

Risk warnings

What to watch out for

Exposure to key global risks

Long-term prospects

Alternative long-run scenarios

Background

Economic development

Structure of the economy

Balance of payments and structure of trade

Policy

Politics

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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Poland

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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Poland