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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Mozambique

Publisher Oxford Economics
Published Sep 15, 2025
Length 7 Pages
SKU # OFE20418409

Description

Mozambique's economy has yet to make a comeback in 2025 after violent unrest in Q4 2024 bludgeoned commercial activities nationwide. With real GDP contracting on an annual basis in H1 2025, the recovery from the sharp downturn in Q4 2024, which was protest-hit, has been slow to materialise. As such, we now forecast underwhelming economic growth of 1.8% (previously 2.0%) this year before bouncing back to 3.8% in 2026.

Table of Contents

7 Pages
Mozambique: Sluggish recovery trims our growth forecast
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Long-term prospects
Alternative long-run scenarios
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments
Policy and politics

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